Southampton vs Derby Prediction, April 11, 2026

Final score: Southampton 2-1 Derby. Our tip was Southampton to win (1) and it won.

Championship
Championship

England

Apr 11th, 2026
2:00 PM
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton
Southampton
W W W W W
2 : 1
Full Time
Derby
Derby
W L W W L

Why This Tip

49%
26%
25%
Southampton win Draw Derby win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Southampton (49% probability — Southampton 49% / draw 26% / Derby 25%). Southampton hold the edge on form, attack, defence, head-to-head and goal model. PeakyBet tip: Southampton to win (1).

59% Form 41%
65% Attack 35%
57% Defence 43%
64% Head-to-head 36%
60% Goal model 40%
Tips: 1

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Southampton – last 5

WWWWW

Derby – last 5

WLWWL

Match Odds
Home
1.77
Draw
3.74
Away
4.26
Predictions
Home Win

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Apr 11, 2026
Kick Off 2:00 PM
Venue St. Mary's Stadium
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Derby
1-1
Southampton
Southampton
4-4
Derby
Derby
2-2
Southampton
Southampton
4-0
Derby
Derby
1-1
Southampton
Southampton - Recent Form
D
Southampton
0-0
Bolton
W
Norwich
0-1
Southampton
W
Southampton
1-0
Portsmouth
L
Wrexham
2-1
Southampton
W
Southampton
4-1
Bristol City
W
Southampton
3-1
Swansea
D
Lincoln
1-1
Southampton
D
Birmingham
1-1
Southampton
W
Southampton
5-1
Millwall
L
Southampton
1-4
West Ham
Derby - Recent Form
L
Derby
0-1
Stoke City
L
QPR
4-1
Derby
D
Derby
1-1
Wrexham
D
Burnley
1-1
Derby
L
Derby
1-2
Birmingham
L
Derby
0-1
West Brom
L
West Ham
3-0
Derby
W
Portsmouth
0-2
Derby
L
Derby
0-3
Swansea
D
Derby
2-2
Cardiff
Southampton
Form
W W W W W
Derby
Form
W L W W L

League Table

About Southampton vs Derby

Southampton face Derby in Championship (England) on Saturday, April 11, 2026 (kick-off 14:00) at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Southampton vs Derby.

Recent form: Southampton have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 matches, while Derby have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Southampton vs Derby points towards: 1. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Southampton a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Derby 25%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.

See all Championship predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.