Derby vs Birmingham Prediction, March 21, 2026

Final score: Derby 1-0 Birmingham. Our tip was Derby to win (1) and it won.

Championship

England

Mar 21st, 2026

12:30 PM

Pride Park

Derby

W L W W L

1 : 0

Full Time

Birmingham

D W L L L

Why This Tip

41%

27%

32%

Derby win Draw Birmingham win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Derby (41% probability — Derby 41% / draw 27% / Birmingham 32%). Derby hold the edge on form, attack, defence and goal model. Birmingham look stronger on head-to-head. PeakyBet tip: Derby to win (1).

69% Form 31%

73% Attack 27%

53% Defence 47%

38% Head-to-head 62%

64% Goal model 36%

Tips: 1

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Derby – last 5

WLLLD

W at Portsmouth 0-1 16 Mar 2026
L at Millwall 1-0 10 Mar 2026
L at Watford 2-0 21 Feb 2026
L vs Ipswich 1-2 7 Feb 2026
D vs West Brom 1-1 23 Jan 2026

Birmingham – last 5

DWWWW

D vs Sheffield Utd 1-1 14 Mar 2026
W vs QPR 1-0 11 Mar 2026
W at Norwich 1-2 21 Feb 2026
W vs Leicester 2-1 7 Feb 2026
W at Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 20 Jan 2026

Match Odds

Home

2.69

Draw

3.20

Away

2.58

Predictions

Home Win

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date Mar 21, 2026

Kick Off 12:30 PM

Venue Pride Park

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Dec 26, 2025

Birmingham

1-1

Derby

Jan 30, 2022

Derby

2-2

Birmingham

Sep 10, 2021

Birmingham

2-0

Derby

Apr 24, 2021

Derby

1-2

Birmingham

Dec 29, 2020

Birmingham

0-4

Derby

Jul 22, 2020

Birmingham

1-3

Derby

Sep 28, 2019

Derby

3-2

Birmingham

Apr 19, 2019

Birmingham

2-2

Derby

Nov 03, 2018

Derby

3-1

Birmingham

Jan 13, 2018

Birmingham

0-3

Derby

Derby - Recent Form

L Oct 17, 2026

Derby

0-1

Stoke City

L Oct 14, 2026

QPR

4-1

Derby

D Oct 10, 2026

Derby

1-1

Wrexham

D Sep 19, 2026

Burnley

1-1

Derby

L Sep 12, 2026

Derby

1-2

Birmingham

L Sep 09, 2026

Derby

0-1

West Brom

L Sep 05, 2026

West Ham

3-0

Derby

W Sep 01, 2026

Portsmouth

0-2

Derby

L Aug 29, 2026

Derby

0-3

Swansea

D Aug 22, 2026

Derby

2-2

Cardiff

Birmingham - Recent Form

W Oct 17, 2026

Birmingham

3-0

QPR

W Oct 13, 2026

Birmingham

4-0

Preston

W Oct 10, 2026

West Brom

0-1

Birmingham

D Sep 19, 2026

Birmingham

2-2

Middlesbrough

W Sep 12, 2026

Derby

1-2

Birmingham

L Sep 09, 2026

Norwich

2-1

Birmingham

D Sep 06, 2026

Birmingham

2-2

Wolves

D Sep 01, 2026

Birmingham

1-1

Southampton

W Aug 28, 2026

Wrexham

1-2

Birmingham

L Aug 25, 2026

Birmingham

1-6

Brentford

Derby

Form

W L W W L

Birmingham

Form

D W L L L

League Table

About Derby vs Birmingham

Derby face Birmingham in Championship (England) on Saturday, March 21, 2026 (kick-off 12:30) at Pride Park, Derby. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Derby vs Birmingham.

Recent form: Derby have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, while Birmingham have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Derby vs Birmingham points towards: 1. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Derby a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Birmingham 32%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 47% and both teams to score at 51%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.3%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%).

See all Championship predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.