Correct Score Predictions Today
Monday, 19 October 2026
Most likely score for each match
Monday, 19 October 2026 · Correct Score Predictions Tomorrow
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Hapoel Beit Shean
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
120
X50
230
1-1
13.2%
–
-
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Tira
110
X40
250
1-1
11.5%
0-1
-
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
140
X30
230
1-1
11.7%
–
-
Tzeirey Tamra
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
150
X10
240
1-1
11.4%
–
-
Hapoel Azor
Dimona
130
X40
230
1-1
12.7%
–
-
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
FC Jerusalem
110
X40
250
1-1
11.9%
–
-
Hapoel Sderot
Hapoel Herzliya
130
X40
230
0-1
17.1%
–
-
Kfar Saba 1928
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
110
X20
270
0-1
13.1%
–
-
Maccabi Yavne
Holon Yermiyahu
140
X30
230
1-0
12.7%
–
-
Maccabi Ashdod
Shimshon Tel Aviv
120
X50
230
1-1
11.5%
0-1
-
Tzeirey Tira
Hapoel Hadera
10
X30
270
0-1
15.4%
–
-
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Ironi Beit Shemesh
140
X40
220
1-0
11.1%
3-3
Yesterday's results
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · 2 of 24 settled picks won
| Match | Tip | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese – Lecce | 1-1 | 0-3 | Lost |
| Osasuna – Racing Santander | 1-1 | 2-0 | Lost |
| Fiorentina – Como | 1-1 | 1-3 | Lost |
| Angers – Marseille | 1-1 | 2-5 | Lost |
| Bournemouth – Sunderland | 1-1 | 2-0 | Lost |
| Brighton – Crystal Palace | 1-1 | 5-0 | Lost |
| Leeds – Manchester United | 1-1 | 1-1 | Won |
| Bayer Leverkusen – SC Freiburg | 1-1 | 2-1 | Lost |
| Celta Vigo – Alaves | 1-1 | 2-1 | Lost |
| Le Havre – Auxerre | 1-1 | 1-3 | Lost |
| Lorient – Monaco | 1-1 | 1-0 | Lost |
| Paris FC – Rennes | 1-1 | 4-3 | Lost |
| Nottingham Forest – Arsenal | 0-1 | 0-1 | Won |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach – 1899 Hoffenheim | 2-2 | 1-2 | Lost |
| AC Milan – Atalanta | 1-0 | 3-2 | Lost |
| Malaga – Real Sociedad | 1-1 | 2-5 | Lost |
| Juventus – Lazio | 1-1 | 0-3 | Lost |
| Lyon – Nice | 1-0 | 2-1 | Lost |
| Real Madrid – Sevilla | 1-1 | 4-1 | Lost |
| Atletico Paranaense – Palmeiras | 1-1 | 0-2 | Lost |
| Atletico-MG – Coritiba | 1-1 | 1-0 | Lost |
| Bahia – Flamengo | 1-1 | 0-3 | Lost |
| Botafogo – Chapecoense-sc | 1-1 | 1-0 | Lost |
| Corinthians – Vitoria | 1-1 | – | Pending |
| Fluminense – Santos | 1-1 | 1-2 | Lost |
How these picks are made
Today's correct score picks show the single score with the highest chance in PeakyBet's Poisson model. The model uses goal data to compare possible scores for each match. A leading score is only one possible result. It can sit at the top of the list while many other scores, taken together, remain much more likely to happen.
For each team, expected goals blend its season average at 60% with its average from the last five games at 40%. Home and away goal records help describe the match. The estimate is then moved slightly towards the wider league averages: about 1.45 home goals and 1.15 away goals. This helps keep a small set of results from pulling the estimate too far.
Both teams need at least four matches of data before this method applies. The table shows the top score and its percentage under Chance. Exact scores rarely have a chance above 15%, so a modest number is normal here. For a broader view of possible outcomes, compare the Sure Win page; its name does not mean any pick is certain to win.
Use the score as a guide to one possible match result, then consider how much uncertainty the percentage leaves. Yesterday's results make past winning and losing picks public, so you can see how the forecasts compared with the games. Listed odds are market reference prices and may differ at your bookmaker. You must be 18+ to bet, and only stake money you can afford to lose.
Frequently asked questions
What does Chance mean in correct score predictions?
Chance is the model's estimated probability of that exact score. It is not the chance of the team winning by any score. Several different home wins, draws and away wins can all remain possible.
Why are correct score percentages so low?
Percentages are low because the chance is split across many possible scores. Even the leading score rarely goes above 15%. Being the most likely single score still leaves plenty of room for a different result.
How does PeakyBet predict correct scores?
PeakyBet uses a Poisson model based on expected goals. It blends season goal averages with the last five games, then moves the estimate slightly towards wider league averages to reduce the effect of small samples.
Why is there no correct score tip for a match?
The correct score method requires at least four matches of data for each team. If either side is below that minimum, the method does not apply. A missing pick is not a sign of an easy result.
Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+.