Italy Serie A Predictions & Tips
196 recent matches: 2.58 goals per game, over 2.5 in 48%, both teams scored in 45%, home wins 40%.
Upcoming Italy Serie A matches
-
Monza
Cagliari
135
X28
237
X2
1.57
–
-
Parma
Torino
133
X29
238
X2
1.33
–
-
Torino
Monza
145
X26
229
1X
1.30
–
-
Cagliari
Bologna
136
X31
233
1X
1.55
–
-
Como
Sassuolo
157
X22
221
HWEH
3.25
–
-
Napoli
AS Roma
132
X28
240
X2
1.40
–
-
Lazio
Parma
162
X23
215
1 DNB
1.22
–
-
Inter
Fiorentina
164
X19
217
1 DNB
1.19
–
-
Atalanta
Frosinone
147
X24
229
1X
1.22
–
-
Genoa
Venezia
144
X26
230
1X
1.29
–
-
Lecce
Juventus
124
X24
252
2 DNB
1.21
–
-
Udinese
AC Milan
123
X25
252
2
1.67
–
-
Sassuolo
Lazio
132
X27
241
X2
1.40
–
-
AS Roma
Cagliari
156
X24
220
1 DNB
1.17
–
-
Torino
Como
125
X26
249
AWEH
4.60
–
-
AC Milan
Bologna
158
X24
218
1X
1.15
–
-
Parma
Udinese
137
X27
236
1X
1.55
–
-
Venezia
Inter
118
X20
262
2 DNB
1.17
–
-
Genoa
Juventus
125
X25
250
X2
1.15
–
-
Monza
Napoli
131
X25
244
GG
1.65
–
Italy Serie A stats and trends
- Goals per game
- 2.58
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Both teams score
- 45%
- Home win
- 40%
- Draw
- 21%
- Away win
- 38%
Across the last 196 Italy Serie A matches in our database, games averaged 2.58 goals and 48% finished with three or more goals, which makes it a league with a balanced goal profile. Both teams scored in 45% of matches and 8% ended 0-0.
Home sides have a modest edge: home teams won 40% of games, 21% were draws and away teams won 38%. Use these base rates as a starting point and compare them with the match probabilities above before choosing a market.
Inter have the sharpest attack in this sample with 2.90 goals per game, while AS Roma concede the fewest at 0.67 per game. AS Roma are the strongest home side, winning 82% of their home matches. Fiorentina draw more often than anyone, in 37% of their games, which is worth remembering for draw and double chance markets.
There are 12 Italy Serie A matches on our schedule over the next seven days, each with a free prediction, 1X2 probabilities and odds. For the day's strongest picks across all leagues see sure win predictions, and for exact scores see correct score predictions today. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees.
Italy Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
Past Matches
-
Udinese
Lecce
146
X27
227
1X
1.22
0-3
-
Fiorentina
Como
131
X25
244
GG
1.53
1-3
-
AC Milan
Atalanta
158
X24
218
1X
1.20
3-2
-
Juventus
Lazio
147
X26
227
X2
2.30
0-3
-
Venezia
Napoli
123
X24
253
2
1.70
1-0
-
Bologna
Inter
125
X24
251
2 DNB
1.31
1-3
-
AS Roma
Genoa
158
X24
218
1 DNB
1.32
2-0
-
Frosinone
Sassuolo
144
X25
231
1X
1.44
4-2
-
Atalanta
Venezia
156
X23
221
1X
1.14
3-1
-
Torino
Udinese
137
X27
236
X2
1.57
2-1
-
Como
AS Roma
133
X26
241
GG
1.50
0-0
-
Lazio
Monza
154
X24
222
1X
1.20
3-1
-
Lecce
Bologna
131
X28
241
1X
1.75
1-2
-
Sassuolo
AC Milan
132
X25
243
X2
1.22
1-1
-
Cagliari
Juventus
126
X27
247
2 DNB
1.26
1-1
-
Genoa
Fiorentina
133
X26
241
2 DNB
1.68
2-1
-
Inter
Parma
171
X16
213
1
1.15
3-0
-
Napoli
Frosinone
147
X23
230
2 DNB
5.03
3-0
-
Fiorentina
Napoli
128
X25
247
X2
1.36
1-1
-
Frosinone
Como
125
X23
252
GG
1.50
2-0
-
Parma
Genoa
137
X31
232
1X
1.50
2-1
-
Juventus
Atalanta
152
X26
222
1X
1.18
2-0
-
AC Milan
Lecce
162
X22
216
1
1.25
3-0
-
Bologna
Torino
143
X27
230
NG
1.85
1-1
-
Udinese
Cagliari
136
X28
236
1X
1.33
0-1
-
AS Roma
Inter
142
X26
232
X2
1.44
2-2
-
Venezia
Lazio
124
X25
251
X2
1.29
0-2
-
Monza
Sassuolo
135
X25
240
OVER 1.5
1.30
–
-
Inter
Udinese
176
X16
28
1 DNB
1.17
5-3
-
Torino
AS Roma
116
X23
261
2 DNB
1.29
0-2
-
Como
Parma
176
X16
28
1
1.22
2-1
-
Lecce
Monza
135
X32
233
1X
1.40
3-2
-
Napoli
Bologna
150
X27
223
1X
1.22
1-0
-
Lazio
AC Milan
125
X30
245
1X
1.70
2-2
-
Genoa
Frosinone
142
X29
229
2 DNB
2.45
1-1
-
Sassuolo
Juventus
118
X25
257
X2
1.17
3-2
-
Atalanta
Cagliari
155
X26
219
1 DNB
1.35
1-2
-
Venezia
Fiorentina
135
X28
237
OVER 1.5
1.30
2-4
-
Cagliari
Lecce
147
X30
223
UNDER 2.5
1.65
1-0
-
Udinese
Lazio
135
X31
234
X2
1.45
1-2
-
Frosinone
Venezia
138
X28
234
OVER 1.5
1.30
3-2
-
Parma
Monza
134
X32
234
1X
1.40
1-1
-
Bologna
Sassuolo
148
X27
225
1X
1.25
2-2
-
Juventus
AC Milan
144
X29
227
1X
1.29
1-1
-
Fiorentina
Torino
145
X28
227
OVER 1.5
1.38
1-2
-
Inter
Napoli
155
X26
219
1X
1.15
3-2
-
AS Roma
Atalanta
156
X25
219
1X
1.18
2-1
-
Genoa
Como
119
X26
255
X2
1.17
1-4
-
Lecce
AS Roma
113
X23
264
OVER 1.5
1.33
0-4
-
Atalanta
Bologna
149
X27
224
1X
1.25
1-0
-
Napoli
Como
138
X31
231
1X
1.36
1-2
-
Cagliari
Inter
114
X21
265
2 DNB
1.20
0-1
-
Lazio
Genoa
142
X32
226
1X
1.28
1-0
-
Fiorentina
Frosinone
156
X24
220
1X
1.17
0-3
-
Monza
Udinese
132
X31
237
X2
1.36
2-3
-
Sassuolo
Torino
142
X29
229
OVER 1.5
1.33
2-1
-
Juventus
Parma
176
X17
27
1 DNB
1.16
2-0
-
AC Milan
Venezia
168
X20
212
1 DNB
1.17
2-0
-
Bologna
Lazio
142
X30
228
OVER 1.5
1.40
0-1
-
AS Roma
Fiorentina
155
X25
220
1X
1.18
4-0
-
Frosinone
Juventus
114
X21
265
2 DNB
1.22
0-1
-
Venezia
Lecce
147
X30
223
OVER 1.5
1.40
0-2
-
Atalanta
Sassuolo
160
X23
217
1X
1.15
2-1
-
Torino
AC Milan
122
X28
250
NG
1.85
1-2
-
Inter
Monza
180
X14
26
UNDER 3.5
1.50
4-1
-
Udinese
Como
121
X28
251
X2
1.20
1-1
-
Genoa
Napoli
123
X31
246
X2
1.22
0-2
-
Parma
Cagliari
137
X32
231
OVER 1.5
1.45
0-1
-
Parma
Sassuolo
135
X28
237
X2
1.50
1-0
-
Napoli
Udinese
154
X24
222
X
4.50
1-0
-
Cremonese
Como
124
X25
251
X2
1.18
1-4
-
Lecce
Genoa
146
X28
226
1X
1.20
1-0
-
AC Milan
Cagliari
159
X22
219
UNDER 3.5
1.44
1-2
-
Hellas Verona
AS Roma
118
X23
259
2
1.33
0-2
-
Bologna
Inter
129
X26
245
NG
2.53
3-3
-
Lazio
Pisa
156
X23
221
1
1.61
2-1
-
Fiorentina
Atalanta
137
X27
236
X2
1.54
1-1
-
Genoa
AC Milan
129
X27
244
1X
2.10
1-2
-
Juventus
Fiorentina
162
X22
216
UNDER 3.5
1.50
0-2
-
Pisa
Napoli
119
X23
258
2
1.40
0-3
-
AS Roma
Lazio
157
X24
219
1
1.54
2-0
-
Inter
Hellas Verona
170
X18
212
1
1.24
1-1
-
Atalanta
Bologna
149
X25
226
1X
1.21
0-1
-
Sassuolo
Lecce
139
X29
232
OVER 1.5
1.32
2-3
-
Udinese
Cremonese
144
X28
228
NG
1.94
0-1
-
Napoli
Bologna
154
X24
222
NG
1.80
2-3
-
Cremonese
Pisa
150
X25
225
X2
2.20
3-0
-
Fiorentina
Genoa
143
X28
229
1X
1.31
0-0
-
Parma
AS Roma
124
X24
252
UNDER 2.5
1.86
2-3
-
AC Milan
Atalanta
140
X29
231
NG
2.15
2-3
-
Lazio
Inter
128
X25
247
X2
1.25
0-3
-
Lecce
Juventus
120
X25
255
UNDER 3.5
1.46
0-1
-
Torino
Sassuolo
137
X29
234
1X
1.42
2-1
-
Cremonese
Lazio
131
X29
240
X2
1.40
1-2
-
AS Roma
Fiorentina
154
X24
222
1X
1.17
4-0
-
Bologna
Cagliari
147
X27
226
OVER 1.5
1.34
0-0
-
Sassuolo
AC Milan
129
X25
246
X2
1.24
2-0
-
Juventus
Hellas Verona
169
X19
212
1
1.21
1-1
-
Inter
Parma
167
X19
214
1
1.25
2-0
-
Udinese
Torino
143
X28
229
NG
1.90
2-0
Italy Serie A FAQ
How many goals per game are scored in Italy Serie A?
Italy Serie A matches averaged 2.58 goals over the last 196 games we tracked, and 73% of them had at least two goals.
How often do Italy Serie A matches go over 2.5 goals?
48% of the last 196 Italy Serie A matches finished with three or more goals. Check each fixture's own over/under probability, because team form varies a lot.
How often do both teams score in Italy Serie A?
Both teams scored in 45% of recent Italy Serie A matches. Our match pages show the both-teams-to-score probability for every upcoming game.
How common are draws in Italy Serie A?
21% of recent Italy Serie A games ended level, while home teams won 40% and away teams 38%.
When is the next Italy Serie A match?
The next Italy Serie A fixture on our schedule is Monza vs Cagliari on Monday 19 October 2026. Predictions are published for every listed match.