Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction, March 16, 2026

Final score: Portsmouth 0-1 Derby. Our tip was Over 1.5 goals.

Championship
Championship

England

Mar 16th, 2026
8:00 PM
Fratton Park
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
L D L L W
0 : 1
Full Time
Derby
Derby

Why This Tip

40%
28%
32%
Portsmouth win Draw Derby win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Portsmouth (40% probability — Portsmouth 40% / draw 28% / Derby 32%). Portsmouth hold the edge on defence. Derby look stronger on form, attack, head-to-head and goal model. PeakyBet tip: Over 1.5 goals.

40% Form 60%
46% Attack 54%
56% Defence 44%
36% Head-to-head 64%
42% Goal model 58%
Tips: yes +1.5

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Portsmouth – last 5

LWLWD

Derby – last 5

LLLDW

Match Odds
Home
2.20
Draw
3.20
Away
3.32
Predictions
BTTS Yes
Over 1.5

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Mar 16, 2026
Kick Off 8:00 PM
Venue Fratton Park
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Derby
1-1
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
2-2
Derby
Derby
4-0
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
2-2
Derby
Derby
1-1
Portsmouth
Derby
1-1
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
0-0
Derby
Portsmouth
2-1
Derby
Portsmouth
1-2
Derby
Derby
3-1
Portsmouth
Portsmouth - Recent Form
W
Norwich
0-1
Portsmouth
W
Portsmouth
3-2
Sheffield Utd
L
Southampton
1-0
Portsmouth
D
Portsmouth
2-2
Blackburn
D
Charlton
0-0
Portsmouth
W
Portsmouth
2-0
Cardiff
L
Portsmouth
0-2
Derby
L
Bristol City
2-1
Portsmouth
W
Lincoln
1-3
Portsmouth
L
Portsmouth
1-3
QPR
Derby - Recent Form
L
Derby
0-1
Stoke City
L
QPR
4-1
Derby
D
Derby
1-1
Wrexham
D
Burnley
1-1
Derby
L
Derby
1-2
Birmingham
L
Derby
0-1
West Brom
L
West Ham
3-0
Derby
W
Portsmouth
0-2
Derby
L
Derby
0-3
Swansea
D
Derby
2-2
Cardiff
Portsmouth
Form
L D L L W
Derby
Form

League Table

About Portsmouth vs Derby

Portsmouth face Derby in Championship (England) on Monday, March 16, 2026 (kick-off 20:00) at Fratton Park, Portsmouth. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Portsmouth vs Derby.

Recent form: Portsmouth have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Portsmouth vs Derby points towards: yes, +1.5. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Portsmouth a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Derby 32%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 50% and both teams to score at 54%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (9.6%).

See all Championship predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.