Derby vs Stoke City Prediction, October 17, 2026

Final score: Derby 0-1 Stoke City. Our tip was Derby or draw (1X) and it lost.

Championship
Championship

England

Oct 17th, 2026
2:00 PM
Pride Park
Derby
Derby
L L D D L
0 : 1
Full Time
Stoke City
Stoke City
W L W W W

Why This Tip

33%
26%
41%
Derby win Draw Stoke City win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Stoke City (41% probability — Derby 33% / draw 26% / Stoke City 41%). Stoke City look stronger on form, attack, defence and goal model. PeakyBet tip: Derby or draw (1X).

17% Form 83%
31% Attack 69%
44% Defence 56%
50% Head-to-head 50%
34% Goal model 66%
Tips: 1x 2

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Derby – last 5

LDDLL

Stoke City – last 5

LWWWD

Last meetings

Match Odds
Home
2.90
Draw
3.30
Away
2.30
Predictions
Home Win or Draw
Away Win

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Oct 17, 2026
Kick Off 2:00 PM
Venue Pride Park
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Derby
2-0
Stoke City
Stoke City
3-1
Derby
Derby
0-0
Stoke City
Stoke City
2-1
Derby
Derby
3-0
Stoke City
Stoke City
1-2
Derby
Derby
2-1
Stoke City
Stoke City
1-0
Derby
Derby
0-0
Stoke City
Derby - Recent Form
L
Derby
0-1
Stoke City
L
QPR
4-1
Derby
D
Derby
1-1
Wrexham
D
Burnley
1-1
Derby
L
Derby
1-2
Birmingham
L
Derby
0-1
West Brom
L
West Ham
3-0
Derby
W
Portsmouth
0-2
Derby
L
Derby
0-3
Swansea
D
Derby
2-2
Cardiff
Stoke City - Recent Form
W
Derby
0-1
Stoke City
L
Stoke City
2-3
Middlesbrough
W
Bolton
1-2
Stoke City
W
Stoke City
2-1
Sheffield Utd
W
Watford
1-2
Stoke City
D
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke City
W
Stoke City
4-0
Charlton
W
Stoke City
1-0
Norwich
L
Wolves
4-1
Stoke City
D
Stoke City
1-1
Hull City
Derby
Form
L L D D L
Stoke City
Form
W L W W W

League Table

About Derby vs Stoke City

Derby face Stoke City in Championship (England) on Saturday, October 17, 2026 (kick-off 14:00) at Pride Park. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Derby vs Stoke City.

Recent form: Derby have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Stoke City have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Derby vs Stoke City points towards: 1x, 2. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Derby a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stoke City 41%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 54% and both teams to score at 57%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-2 (8.8%).

See all Championship predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.