Burnley vs Derby Prediction, September 19, 2026

Final score: Burnley 1-1 Derby. Our tip was Burnley or draw (1X) and it won.

Championship
Championship

England

Sep 19th, 2026
2:00 PM
Turf Moor
Burnley
Burnley
D L D L D
1 : 1
Full Time
Derby
Derby
D L L L W

Why This Tip

46%
26%
28%
Burnley win Draw Derby win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Burnley (46% probability — Burnley 46% / draw 26% / Derby 28%). Burnley hold the edge on attack and head-to-head. Derby look stronger on form and defence. PeakyBet tip: Burnley or draw (1X).

40% Form 60%
63% Attack 38%
45% Defence 55%
75% Head-to-head 25%
50% Goal model 50%
Tips: AWEH yes 1X x

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Burnley – last 5

LDLDL

Derby – last 5

LLLWL

Match Odds
Home
1.85
Draw
3.50
Away
4.00
Predictions
Away Wins Either Half
BTTS Yes
Home Win or Draw
Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Sep 19, 2026
Kick Off 2:00 PM
Venue Turf Moor
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Burnley
2-1
Derby
Derby
0-0
Burnley
Burnley
0-0
Derby
Burnley
4-1
Derby
Derby
0-0
Burnley
Burnley
2-0
Derby
Derby
0-3
Burnley
Burnley
2-0
Derby
Derby
1-2
Burnley
Burnley
0-0
Derby
Burnley - Recent Form
L
Burnley
1-2
Wolves
D
Burnley
2-2
Charlton
W
Watford
0-4
Burnley
D
Burnley
1-1
Derby
L
Swansea
3-1
Burnley
D
Wrexham
1-1
Burnley
L
Burnley
1-2
Bristol City
D
Burnley
1-1
Middlesbrough
L
Norwich
4-1
Burnley
D
Bradford
0-0
Burnley
Derby - Recent Form
L
Derby
0-1
Stoke City
L
QPR
4-1
Derby
D
Derby
1-1
Wrexham
D
Burnley
1-1
Derby
L
Derby
1-2
Birmingham
L
Derby
0-1
West Brom
L
West Ham
3-0
Derby
W
Portsmouth
0-2
Derby
L
Derby
0-3
Swansea
D
Derby
2-2
Cardiff
Burnley
Form
D L D L D
Derby
Form
D L L L W

League Table

About Burnley vs Derby

Burnley face Derby in Championship (England) on Saturday, September 19, 2026 (kick-off 14:00) at Turf Moor, Burnley. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Burnley vs Derby.

Recent form: Burnley have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, while Derby have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Burnley vs Derby points towards: AWEH, yes, 1X. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Burnley a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Derby 28%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 52% and both teams to score at 56%.

See all Championship predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.