Derby vs Birmingham Prediction, September 12, 2026

Final score: Derby 1-2 Birmingham. Our tip was Birmingham or draw (X2) and it won.

Championship
Championship

England

Sep 12th, 2026
11:30 AM
Pride Park
Derby
Derby
L L L W L
1 : 2
Full Time
Birmingham
Birmingham
W L D D W

Why This Tip

28%
28%
44%
Derby win Draw Birmingham win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Birmingham (44% probability — Derby 28% / draw 28% / Birmingham 44%). Birmingham look stronger on form, attack, defence, head-to-head and goal model. PeakyBet tip: Birmingham or draw (X2).

40% Form 60%
33% Attack 67%
47% Defence 53%
38% Head-to-head 62%
20% Goal model 80%
Tips: X2 no +1.5 2

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Derby – last 5

LLWLD

Birmingham – last 5

LDDWL

Last meetings

Match Odds
Home
3.50
Draw
3.10
Away
2.10
Predictions
Away Win or Draw
BTTS No
Over 1.5
Away Win
Away Wins Either Half
2 DNB

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Sep 12, 2026
Kick Off 11:30 AM
Venue Pride Park
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Derby
1-0
Birmingham
Birmingham
1-1
Derby
Derby
2-2
Birmingham
Birmingham
2-0
Derby
Derby
1-2
Birmingham
Birmingham
0-4
Derby
Birmingham
1-3
Derby
Derby
3-2
Birmingham
Birmingham
2-2
Derby
Derby - Recent Form
L
Derby
0-1
Stoke City
L
QPR
4-1
Derby
D
Derby
1-1
Wrexham
D
Burnley
1-1
Derby
L
Derby
1-2
Birmingham
L
Derby
0-1
West Brom
L
West Ham
3-0
Derby
W
Portsmouth
0-2
Derby
L
Derby
0-3
Swansea
D
Derby
2-2
Cardiff
Birmingham - Recent Form
W
Birmingham
3-0
QPR
W
Birmingham
4-0
Preston
W
West Brom
0-1
Birmingham
D
Birmingham
2-2
Middlesbrough
W
Derby
1-2
Birmingham
L
Norwich
2-1
Birmingham
D
Birmingham
2-2
Wolves
D
Birmingham
1-1
Southampton
W
Wrexham
1-2
Birmingham
L
Birmingham
1-6
Brentford
Derby
Form
L L L W L
Birmingham
Form
W L D D W

League Table

About Derby vs Birmingham

Derby face Birmingham in Championship (England) on Saturday, September 12, 2026 (kick-off 11:30) at Pride Park. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Derby vs Birmingham.

Recent form: Derby have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 5 matches, while Birmingham have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Derby vs Birmingham points towards: X2, no, +1.5. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Derby a 28% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Birmingham 44%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.5%), followed by 0-1 (10.8%).

See all Championship predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.