Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG Prediction, September 5, 2026

Final score: Sao Paulo 2-0 Atletico-MG. Our tip was Over 1.5 goals.

Serie A
Serie A

Brazil

Sep 5th, 2026
9:30 PM
Estadio Do MorumBIS
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
D W L W D
2 : 0
Full Time
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
D W W D D

Why This Tip

42%
29%
29%
Sao Paulo win Draw Atletico-MG win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Sao Paulo (42% probability — Sao Paulo 42% / draw 29% / Atletico-MG 29%). Sao Paulo hold the edge on goal model. Atletico-MG look stronger on form, attack and defence. PeakyBet tip: Over 1.5 goals.

31% Form 69%
36% Attack 64%
40% Defence 60%
50% Head-to-head 50%
59% Goal model 41%
Tips: 1x X2 +1.5 HWEH

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Sao Paulo – last 5

WLWDD

Atletico-MG – last 5

WWDDD

Last meetings

Match Odds
Home
2.00
Draw
3.10
Away
3.70
Predictions
Home Win or Draw
Away Win or Draw
Over 1.5
Home Wins Either Half
1 DNB
BTTS Yes

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Sep 5, 2026
Kick Off 9:30 PM
Venue Estadio Do MorumBIS
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Atletico-MG
1-0
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2-0
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
0-0
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
2-2
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
0-0
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
0-1
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
2-1
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2-1
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
0-2
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
2-2
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo - Recent Form
W
Sao Paulo
1-0
Vasco DA Gama
W
Sao Paulo
2-1
Vitoria
L
Cruzeiro
2-0
Sao Paulo
W
Sao Paulo
1-0
Internacional
D
Sao Paulo
1-1
Boca Juniors
L
Palmeiras
2-0
Sao Paulo
L
Boca Juniors
1-0
Sao Paulo
W
Sao Paulo
2-0
Atletico-MG
W
Sao Paulo
2-1
RB Bragantino
L
Chapecoense-sc
1-0
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG - Recent Form
W
Atletico-MG
1-0
Coritiba
W
Atletico-MG
3-0
Atletico Torque
W
Atletico-MG
2-1
Santos
D
Atletico Paranaense
2-2
Atletico-MG
D
Atletico-MG
1-1
Chapecoense-sc
W
Atletico-MG
3-1
Fluminense
L
Sao Paulo
2-0
Atletico-MG
W
Atletico-MG
2-1
Cruzeiro
W
Atletico-MG
2-1
Vitoria
D
Cruzeiro
1-1
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
Form
D W L W D
Atletico-MG
Form
D W W D D

League Table

About Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG

Sao Paulo face Atletico-MG in Serie A (Brazil) on Saturday, September 5, 2026 (kick-off 21:30) at Estadio Do MorumBIS. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG.

Recent form: Sao Paulo have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Atletico-MG have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG points towards: 1x, X2, +1.5. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Sao Paulo a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Atletico-MG 29%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 44% and both teams to score at 49%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%).

See all Serie A predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.