Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo Prediction, March 18, 2026

Final score: Atletico-MG 1-0 Sao Paulo. Our tip was Under 2.5 goals.

Serie A

Brazil

Mar 18th, 2026

11:00 PM

MRV Arena

Atletico-MG

L W L D L

1 : 0

Full Time

Sao Paulo

W W L W W

Why This Tip

36%

29%

35%

Atletico-MG win Draw Sao Paulo win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Atletico-MG (36% probability — Atletico-MG 36% / draw 29% / Sao Paulo 35%). Sao Paulo look stronger on form, attack, defence and goal model. PeakyBet tip: Under 2.5 goals.

24% Form 76%

38% Attack 62%

20% Defence 80%

50% Head-to-head 50%

32% Goal model 68%

Tips: -2.5 2

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Atletico-MG – last 5

LWDDL

L at Vitoria 2-0 14 Mar 2026
W vs Internacional 1-0 11 Mar 2026
D vs America Mineiro 1-1 22 Feb 2026
D vs Athletic Club 1-1 7 Feb 2026
L at RB Bragantino 1-0 4 Feb 2026

Sao Paulo – last 5

WWWWD

W at RB Bragantino 1-2 15 Mar 2026
W vs Chapecoense-sc 2-0 12 Mar 2026
W at RB Bragantino 1-2 21 Feb 2026
W vs Primavera SP 2-1 7 Feb 2026
D at Santos 1-1 4 Feb 2026

Match Odds

Home

2.37

Draw

3.08

Away

3.40

Predictions

Under 2.5

Away Win

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date Mar 18, 2026

Kick Off 11:00 PM

Venue MRV Arena

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Aug 24, 2025

Sao Paulo

2-0

Atletico-MG

Apr 06, 2025

Atletico-MG

0-0

Sao Paulo

Nov 24, 2024

Sao Paulo

2-2

Atletico-MG

Sep 13, 2024

Atletico-MG

0-0

Sao Paulo

Aug 29, 2024

Sao Paulo

0-1

Atletico-MG

Jul 12, 2024

Atletico-MG

2-1

Sao Paulo

Dec 03, 2023

Atletico-MG

2-1

Sao Paulo

Aug 06, 2023

Sao Paulo

0-2

Atletico-MG

Nov 02, 2022

Sao Paulo

2-2

Atletico-MG

Jul 10, 2022

Atletico-MG

0-0

Sao Paulo

Atletico-MG - Recent Form

W Oct 18, 2026

Atletico-MG

1-0

Coritiba

W Oct 14, 2026

Atletico-MG

3-0

Atletico Torque

W Oct 11, 2026

Atletico-MG

2-1

Santos

D Oct 08, 2026

Atletico Paranaense

2-2

Atletico-MG

D Sep 20, 2026

Atletico-MG

1-1

Chapecoense-sc

W Sep 13, 2026

Atletico-MG

3-1

Fluminense

L Sep 05, 2026

Sao Paulo

2-0

Atletico-MG

W Sep 02, 2026

Atletico-MG

2-1

Cruzeiro

W Aug 30, 2026

Atletico-MG

2-1

Vitoria

D Aug 26, 2026

Cruzeiro

1-1

Atletico-MG

Sao Paulo - Recent Form

W Oct 18, 2026

Sao Paulo

1-0

Vasco DA Gama

W Oct 11, 2026

Sao Paulo

2-1

Vitoria

L Oct 08, 2026

Cruzeiro

2-0

Sao Paulo

W Sep 20, 2026

Sao Paulo

1-0

Internacional

D Sep 16, 2026

Sao Paulo

1-1

Boca Juniors

L Sep 13, 2026

Palmeiras

2-0

Sao Paulo

L Sep 09, 2026

Boca Juniors

1-0

Sao Paulo

W Sep 05, 2026

Sao Paulo

2-0

Atletico-MG

W Aug 30, 2026

Sao Paulo

2-1

RB Bragantino

L Aug 23, 2026

Chapecoense-sc

1-0

Sao Paulo

Atletico-MG

Form

L W L D L

Sao Paulo

Form

W W L W W

League Table

About Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo

Atletico-MG face Sao Paulo in Serie A (Brazil) on Wednesday, March 18, 2026 (kick-off 23:00) at MRV Arena. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo.

Recent form: Atletico-MG have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Sao Paulo have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo points towards: -2.5, 2. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Atletico-MG a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sao Paulo 35%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 49% and both teams to score at 53%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.4%), followed by 0-1 (10.2%).

See all Serie A predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.