Mérida AD vs Lugo Prediction, May 3, 2026

Final score: Mérida AD 0-2 Lugo. Our tip was Mérida AD or draw (1X) and it lost.

Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Spain

May 3rd, 2026
2:00 PM
Estadio Romano Jose Fouto
Mérida AD
Mérida AD
L W D L W
0 : 2
Full Time
Lugo
Lugo
L D L L W

Why This Tip

45%
27%
28%
Mérida AD win Draw Lugo win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Mérida AD (45% probability — Mérida AD 45% / draw 27% / Lugo 28%). Mérida AD hold the edge on form, attack, defence and goal model. Lugo look stronger on head-to-head. PeakyBet tip: Mérida AD or draw (1X).

64% Form 36%
60% Attack 40%
53% Defence 47%
0% Head-to-head 100%
63% Goal model 37%
Tips: +1.5 1X

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Mérida AD – last 5

LWDLW

Lugo – last 5

LDLLW

Match Odds
Home
2.03
Draw
3.18
Away
3.42
Predictions
Over 1.5
Home Win or Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date May 3, 2026
Kick Off 2:00 PM
Venue Estadio Romano Jose Fouto
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Lugo
1-0
Mérida AD
Mérida AD - Recent Form
W
Arenas Getxo
0-4
Mérida AD
W
Pontevedra
1-2
Mérida AD
W
Mérida AD
2-0
Cacereño
L
Mérida AD
3-5
UD Logroñés
L
Ponferradina
1-0
Mérida AD
L
Mérida AD
3-4
Mirandes
L
Cultural Leonesa
1-0
Mérida AD
W
Mérida AD
1-0
Deportivo La Coruña II
W
Mérida AD
2-1
Alcorcon
L
Leganes
3-0
Mérida AD
Lugo - Recent Form
W
Lugo
3-0
Deportivo La Coruña II
W
Lugo
3-1
UD Logroñés
W
Real Avilés
1-2
Lugo
W
Lugo
1-0
Racing Ferrol
W
Zamora
1-2
Lugo
W
Lugo
1-0
CD Coria
D
Ponferradina
0-0
Lugo
W
Unionistas de Salamanca
1-3
Lugo
W
Lugo
1-0
Ourense CF
W
Lugo
2-1
Coruxo
Mérida AD
Form
L W D L W
Lugo
Form
L D L L W

League Table

About Mérida AD vs Lugo

Mérida AD face Lugo in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on Sunday, May 3, 2026 (kick-off 14:00) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto, Mérida. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Mérida AD vs Lugo.

Recent form: Mérida AD have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, while Lugo have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Mérida AD vs Lugo points towards: +1.5, 1X. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Mérida AD a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lugo 28%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.

See all Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.