Ponferradina vs Mérida AD Prediction, April 4, 2026

Final score: Ponferradina 4-1 Mérida AD. Our tip was Ponferradina or draw (1X) and it won.

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Spain

Apr 4th, 2026

7:00 PM

Estadio El Toralín

Ponferradina

D W D L W

4 : 1

Full Time

Mérida AD

W D L D D

Why This Tip

48%

28%

24%

Ponferradina win Draw Mérida AD win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Ponferradina (48% probability — Ponferradina 48% / draw 28% / Mérida AD 24%). Ponferradina hold the edge on form, defence and goal model. Mérida AD look stronger on attack. PeakyBet tip: Ponferradina or draw (1X).

57% Form 43%

44% Attack 56%

78% Defence 22%

50% Head-to-head 50%

63% Goal model 37%

Tips: no -2.5 1X

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Ponferradina – last 5

DWDDW

D at Ourense CF 0-0 29 Mar 2026
W vs Unionistas de Salamanca 3-1 21 Mar 2026
D at Cacereño 0-0 15 Mar 2026
D vs Celta de Vigo II 0-0 8 Feb 2026
W at Lugo 0-2 1 Feb 2026

Mérida AD – last 5

WDLWW

W vs Racing Ferrol 2-1 28 Mar 2026
D at Athletic Club II 1-1 20 Mar 2026
L vs Guadalajara 1-4 13 Mar 2026
W vs Cacereño 1-0 22 Feb 2026
W vs Zamora 2-0 8 Feb 2026

Match Odds

Home

1.82

Draw

3.18

Away

4.24

Predictions

BTTS No

Under 2.5

Home Win or Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date Apr 4, 2026

Kick Off 7:00 PM

Venue Estadio El Toralín

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Oct 24, 2025

Mérida AD

0-0

Ponferradina

Ponferradina - Recent Form

D Oct 17, 2026

Zamora

1-1

Ponferradina

L Oct 11, 2026

Ponferradina

0-2

Real Avilés

W Oct 04, 2026

Ponferradina

1-0

Mirandes

D Sep 27, 2026

Pontevedra

1-1

Ponferradina

W Sep 20, 2026

Ponferradina

1-0

Mérida AD

L Sep 13, 2026

Deportivo La Coruña II

2-1

Ponferradina

D Sep 06, 2026

Ponferradina

0-0

Lugo

W Aug 30, 2026

UD Ourense

0-1

Ponferradina

D Aug 19, 2026

Ponferradina

2-2

Real Madrid II

W Aug 08, 2026

Marino de Luanco

0-3

Ponferradina

Mérida AD - Recent Form

W Oct 18, 2026

Arenas Getxo

0-4

Mérida AD

W Oct 11, 2026

Pontevedra

1-2

Mérida AD

W Oct 04, 2026

Mérida AD

2-0

Cacereño

L Sep 27, 2026

Mérida AD

3-5

UD Logroñés

L Sep 20, 2026

Ponferradina

1-0

Mérida AD

L Sep 13, 2026

Mérida AD

3-4

Mirandes

L Sep 06, 2026

Cultural Leonesa

1-0

Mérida AD

W Aug 30, 2026

Mérida AD

1-0

Deportivo La Coruña II

W Aug 14, 2026

Mérida AD

2-1

Alcorcon

L Aug 07, 2026

Leganes

3-0

Mérida AD

Ponferradina

Form

D W D L W

Mérida AD

Form

W D L D D

League Table

About Ponferradina vs Mérida AD

Ponferradina face Mérida AD in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on Saturday, April 4, 2026 (kick-off 19:00) at Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Ponferradina vs Mérida AD.

Recent form: Ponferradina have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Mérida AD have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Ponferradina vs Mérida AD points towards: no, -2.5, 1X. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Ponferradina a 48% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mérida AD 24%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 42% and both teams to score at 47%.

See all Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.