Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, May 23, 2026

Final score: Alaves 1-2 Rayo Vallecano. Our tip was Alaves or draw (1X) and it lost.

La Liga

Spain

May 23rd, 2026

7:00 PM

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Alaves

W W D L W

1 : 2

Full Time

Rayo Vallecano

W D D W W

Why This Tip

40%

28%

32%

Alaves win Draw Rayo Vallecano win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Alaves (40% probability — Alaves 40% / draw 28% / Rayo Vallecano 32%). Alaves hold the edge on form and goal model. Rayo Vallecano look stronger on attack, defence and head-to-head. PeakyBet tip: Alaves or draw (1X).

53% Form 47%

44% Attack 56%

45% Defence 55%

40% Head-to-head 60%

59% Goal model 41%

Tips: 1X

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Alaves – last 5

WWDLW

W at Oviedo 0-1 17 May 2026
W vs Barcelona 1-0 13 May 2026
D at Elche 1-1 9 May 2026
L vs Athletic Club 2-4 2 May 2026
W vs Mallorca 2-1 25 Apr 2026

Rayo Vallecano – last 5

WDDWW

W vs Villarreal 2-0 17 May 2026
D at Valencia 1-1 14 May 2026
D vs Girona 1-1 11 May 2026
W at Strasbourg 0-1 7 May 2026
W at Getafe 0-2 3 May 2026

Match Odds

Home

2.47

Draw

3.44

Away

3.13

Predictions

Home Win or Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date May 23, 2026

Kick Off 7:00 PM

Venue Estadio Mendizorrotza

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Jan 14, 2026

Alaves

2-0

Rayo Vallecano

Oct 26, 2025

Rayo Vallecano

1-0

Alaves

Mar 29, 2025

Alaves

0-2

Rayo Vallecano

Oct 26, 2024

Rayo Vallecano

1-0

Alaves

Mar 10, 2024

Alaves

1-0

Rayo Vallecano

Sep 15, 2023

Rayo Vallecano

2-0

Alaves

Apr 16, 2022

Alaves

1-0

Rayo Vallecano

Dec 18, 2021

Rayo Vallecano

2-0

Alaves

Jan 28, 2019

Alaves

0-1

Rayo Vallecano

Sep 22, 2018

Rayo Vallecano

1-5

Alaves

Alaves - Recent Form

L Oct 18, 2026

Celta Vigo

2-1

Alaves

L Oct 10, 2026

Alaves

1-2

Atletico Madrid

D Sep 19, 2026

Athletic Club

0-0

Alaves

L Sep 16, 2026

Alaves

0-1

Valencia

L Sep 13, 2026

Racing Santander

2-1

Alaves

W Sep 06, 2026

Alaves

5-2

Osasuna

W Aug 28, 2026

Alaves

1-0

Villarreal

D Aug 20, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

1-1

Alaves

W Aug 15, 2026

Alaves

3-0

Getafe

D Aug 07, 2026

Racing Santander

1-1

Alaves

Rayo Vallecano - Recent Form

D Oct 10, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

0-0

Athletic Club

D Sep 19, 2026

Osasuna

1-1

Rayo Vallecano

W Sep 16, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

2-1

Espanyol

L Sep 13, 2026

Real Madrid

4-1

Rayo Vallecano

W Sep 05, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

3-2

Racing Santander

L Aug 31, 2026

Barcelona

5-2

Rayo Vallecano

D Aug 20, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

1-1

Alaves

L Aug 15, 2026

Sevilla

2-1

Rayo Vallecano

L Aug 08, 2026

Ipswich

3-0

Rayo Vallecano

W Aug 01, 2026

Charleroi

2-3

Rayo Vallecano

Alaves

Form

W W D L W

Rayo Vallecano

Form

W D D W W

League Table

About Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

Alaves face Rayo Vallecano in La Liga (Spain) on Saturday, May 23, 2026 (kick-off 19:00) at Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano.

Recent form: Alaves have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Rayo Vallecano have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano points towards: 1X. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Alaves a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rayo Vallecano 32%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (10.4%).

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