Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction, May 17, 2026

Final score: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Villarreal. Our tip was Under 3.5 goals.

La Liga

Spain

May 17th, 2026

5:00 PM

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano

D D W W W

2 : 0

Full Time

Villarreal

L D W W D

Why This Tip

41%

27%

32%

Rayo Vallecano win Draw Villarreal win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Rayo Vallecano (41% probability — Rayo Vallecano 41% / draw 27% / Villarreal 32%). Rayo Vallecano hold the edge on form, defence and goal model. Villarreal look stronger on attack and head-to-head. PeakyBet tip: Under 3.5 goals.

53% Form 47%

42% Attack 58%

58% Defence 42%

15% Head-to-head 85%

53% Goal model 47%

Tips: -3.5 X2

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano – last 5

DDWWW

D at Valencia 1-1 14 May 2026
D vs Girona 1-1 11 May 2026
W at Strasbourg 0-1 7 May 2026
W at Getafe 0-2 3 May 2026
W vs Strasbourg 1-0 30 Apr 2026

Villarreal – last 5

LDWWD

L vs Sevilla 2-3 13 May 2026
D at Mallorca 1-1 10 May 2026
W vs Levante 5-1 2 May 2026
W vs Celta Vigo 2-1 26 Apr 2026
D at Oviedo 1-1 23 Apr 2026

Match Odds

Home

2.42

Draw

3.60

Away

3.08

Predictions

Under 3.5

Away Win or Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date May 17, 2026

Kick Off 5:00 PM

Venue Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Nov 01, 2025

Villarreal

4-0

Rayo Vallecano

Feb 22, 2025

Rayo Vallecano

0-1

Villarreal

Dec 18, 2024

Villarreal

1-1

Rayo Vallecano

Apr 28, 2024

Villarreal

3-0

Rayo Vallecano

Sep 24, 2023

Rayo Vallecano

1-1

Villarreal

May 28, 2023

Rayo Vallecano

2-1

Villarreal

Jan 30, 2023

Villarreal

0-1

Rayo Vallecano

May 12, 2022

Rayo Vallecano

1-5

Villarreal

Dec 12, 2021

Villarreal

2-0

Rayo Vallecano

Jan 29, 2020

Rayo Vallecano

0-2

Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano - Recent Form

D Oct 10, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

0-0

Athletic Club

D Sep 19, 2026

Osasuna

1-1

Rayo Vallecano

W Sep 16, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

2-1

Espanyol

L Sep 13, 2026

Real Madrid

4-1

Rayo Vallecano

W Sep 05, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

3-2

Racing Santander

L Aug 31, 2026

Barcelona

5-2

Rayo Vallecano

D Aug 20, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

1-1

Alaves

L Aug 15, 2026

Sevilla

2-1

Rayo Vallecano

L Aug 08, 2026

Ipswich

3-0

Rayo Vallecano

W Aug 01, 2026

Charleroi

2-3

Rayo Vallecano

Villarreal - Recent Form

D Oct 17, 2026

Villarreal

0-0

Elche

L Oct 10, 2026

Real Madrid

1-0

Villarreal

W Sep 20, 2026

Villarreal

3-1

Levante

L Sep 13, 2026

Villarreal

1-2

Real Betis

L Sep 08, 2026

Borussia Dortmund

3-2

Villarreal

W Sep 08, 2026

Villarreal

3-1

Napoli

L Sep 05, 2026

Villarreal

2-3

Deportivo La Coruna

L Aug 28, 2026

Alaves

1-0

Villarreal

D Aug 23, 2026

Atletico Madrid

2-2

Villarreal

D Aug 16, 2026

Racing Santander

2-2

Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano

Form

D D W W W

Villarreal

Form

L D W W D

League Table

About Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano face Villarreal in La Liga (Spain) on Sunday, May 17, 2026 (kick-off 17:00) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal.

Recent form: Rayo Vallecano have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 matches, while Villarreal have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal points towards: -3.5, X2. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Rayo Vallecano a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Villarreal 32%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 49% and both teams to score at 53%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.1%).

See all La Liga predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.