Toluca vs Leon Prediction, April 26, 2026

Final score: Toluca 4-1 Leon. Our tip was Under 3.5 goals.

Liga MX
Liga MX

Mexico

Apr 26th, 2026
1:00 AM
Toluca
Toluca
L L D L D
4 : 1
Full Time
Leon
Leon
L W W W W

Why This Tip

53%
23%
24%
Toluca win Draw Leon win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Toluca (53% probability — Toluca 53% / draw 23% / Leon 24%). Toluca hold the edge on head-to-head and goal model. Leon look stronger on form, attack and defence. PeakyBet tip: Under 3.5 goals.

14% Form 86%
38% Attack 63%
36% Defence 64%
62% Head-to-head 38%
86% Goal model 14%
Tips: -3.5 yes 2

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Toluca – last 5

LLWDW

Leon – last 5

LWWWW

Match Odds
Home
1.59
Draw
4.40
Away
4.60
Predictions
Under 3.5
BTTS Yes
Away Win

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Apr 26, 2026
Kick Off 1:00 AM
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Leon
2-4
Toluca
Leon
3-3
Toluca
Toluca
2-2
Leon
Toluca
4-1
Leon
Leon
1-0
Toluca
Toluca
0-0
Leon
Leon
0-1
Toluca
Leon
4-4
Toluca
Toluca
0-0
Leon
Leon
2-2
Toluca
Toluca - Recent Form
D
Toluca
1-1
Atletico San Luis
L
Tigres UANL
3-2
Toluca
L
Monterrey
2-1
Toluca
D
Cruz Azul
3-3
Toluca
L
Toluca
2-3
Santos Laguna
W
Toluca
5-2
Atlas
W
Toluca
2-0
Monterrey
W
Puebla
0-1
Toluca
W
Toluca
2-0
Leon
W
Toluca
4-0
FC Juarez
Leon - Recent Form
L
Leon
3-5
Club America
D
Puebla
1-1
Leon
W
Leon
2-1
FC Juarez
D
Club Queretaro
1-1
Leon
W
Leon
2-0
Atletico San Luis
W
Leon
1-0
Club America
L
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3-1
Leon
L
Toluca
2-0
Leon
D
Atlante FC
1-1
Leon
W
Leon
3-0
Real Salt Lake
Toluca
Form
L L D L D
Leon
Form
L W W W W

League Table

About Toluca vs Leon

Toluca face Leon in Liga MX (Mexico) on Sunday, April 26, 2026 (kick-off 01:00). On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Toluca vs Leon.

Recent form: Toluca have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Leon have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Toluca vs Leon points towards: -3.5, yes, 2. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Toluca a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leon 24%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.

See all Liga MX predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.