Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, March 22, 2026

Final score: Real Madrid 3-2 Atletico Madrid. Our tip was Under 3.5 goals.

La Liga
La Liga

Spain

Mar 22nd, 2026
8:00 PM
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W W W W L
3 : 2
Full Time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
L W W W L

Why This Tip

49%
25%
26%
Real Madrid win Draw Atletico Madrid win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Real Madrid (49% probability — Real Madrid 49% / draw 25% / Atletico Madrid 26%). Real Madrid hold the edge on attack, defence and goal model. Atletico Madrid look stronger on form. PeakyBet tip: Under 3.5 goals.

43% Form 57%
55% Attack 45%
54% Defence 46%
50% Head-to-head 50%
70% Goal model 30%
Tips: -3.5 +2.5 1 x

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Real Madrid – last 5

WWWLW

Atletico Madrid – last 5

LWWLW

Match Odds
Home
2.00
Draw
3.95
Away
3.83
Predictions
Under 3.5
Over 2.5
Home Win
Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Mar 22, 2026
Kick Off 8:00 PM
Venue Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Atletico Madrid
1-2
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
5-2
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2-1
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
4-2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
5-3
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid - Recent Form
W
Real Madrid
4-1
Sevilla
W
Real Madrid
1-0
Villarreal
L
Atletico Madrid
2-1
Real Madrid
W
Elche
2-3
Real Madrid
W
Real Madrid
4-1
Rayo Vallecano
W
Real Madrid
2-1
Inter
W
AS Roma
3-4
Real Madrid
L
Real Betis
1-0
Real Madrid
W
Real Madrid
4-0
Malaga
W
Real Madrid
4-1
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid - Recent Form
W
Espanyol
0-1
Atletico Madrid
W
Alaves
1-2
Atletico Madrid
W
Atletico Madrid
2-1
Real Madrid
W
Atletico Madrid
4-0
Osasuna
W
Real Sociedad
0-3
Atletico Madrid
D
Liverpool
1-1
Atletico Madrid
W
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Manchester United
L
Athletic Club
3-0
Atletico Madrid
W
Sevilla
1-3
Atletico Madrid
D
Atletico Madrid
2-2
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Form
W W W W L
Atletico Madrid
Form
L W W W L

League Table

About Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid face Atletico Madrid in La Liga (Spain) on Sunday, March 22, 2026 (kick-off 20:00) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid.

Recent form: Real Madrid have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Atletico Madrid have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid points towards: -3.5, +2.5, 1. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Real Madrid a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Madrid 26%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 52% and both teams to score at 54%.

See all La Liga predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.