Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction, May 23, 2026

Final score: Real Madrid 4-2 Athletic Club. Our tip was Under 3.5 goals.

La Liga

Spain

May 23rd, 2026

7:00 PM

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid

W W L W D

4 : 2

Full Time

Athletic Club

D L L W L

Why This Tip

59%

22%

19%

Real Madrid win Draw Athletic Club win

PeakyBet's model clearly favours Real Madrid (59% probability — Real Madrid 59% / draw 22% / Athletic Club 19%). Real Madrid hold the edge on form, defence, head-to-head and goal model. Athletic Club look stronger on attack. PeakyBet tip: Under 3.5 goals.

71% Form 29%

46% Attack 54%

75% Defence 25%

80% Head-to-head 20%

79% Goal model 21%

Tips: -3.5 1

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Real Madrid – last 5

WWLWD

W at Sevilla 0-1 17 May 2026
W vs Oviedo 2-0 14 May 2026
L at Barcelona 2-0 10 May 2026
W at Espanyol 0-2 3 May 2026
D at Real Betis 1-1 24 Apr 2026

Athletic Club – last 5

DLLWL

D vs Celta Vigo 1-1 17 May 2026
L at Espanyol 2-0 13 May 2026
L vs Valencia 0-1 10 May 2026
W at Alaves 2-4 2 May 2026
L at Atletico Madrid 3-2 25 Apr 2026

Match Odds

Home

1.50

Draw

4.98

Away

6.66

Predictions

Under 3.5

Home Win

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date May 23, 2026

Kick Off 7:00 PM

Venue Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Dec 03, 2025

Athletic Club

0-3

Real Madrid

Apr 20, 2025

Real Madrid

1-0

Athletic Club

Dec 04, 2024

Athletic Club

2-1

Real Madrid

Mar 31, 2024

Real Madrid

2-0

Athletic Club

Aug 12, 2023

Athletic Club

0-2

Real Madrid

Jun 04, 2023

Real Madrid

1-1

Athletic Club

Jan 22, 2023

Athletic Club

0-2

Real Madrid

Feb 03, 2022

Athletic Club

1-0

Real Madrid

Jan 16, 2022

Athletic Club

0-2

Real Madrid

Dec 22, 2021

Athletic Club

1-2

Real Madrid

Real Madrid - Recent Form

W Oct 18, 2026

Real Madrid

4-1

Sevilla

W Oct 10, 2026

Real Madrid

1-0

Villarreal

L Sep 20, 2026

Atletico Madrid

2-1

Real Madrid

W Sep 16, 2026

Elche

2-3

Real Madrid

W Sep 13, 2026

Real Madrid

4-1

Rayo Vallecano

W Sep 08, 2026

Real Madrid

2-1

Inter

W Sep 08, 2026

AS Roma

3-4

Real Madrid

L Sep 04, 2026

Real Betis

1-0

Real Madrid

W Aug 30, 2026

Real Madrid

4-0

Malaga

W Aug 26, 2026

Real Madrid

4-1

Real Sociedad

Athletic Club - Recent Form

D Oct 17, 2026

Valencia

0-0

Athletic Club

D Oct 10, 2026

Rayo Vallecano

0-0

Athletic Club

D Sep 19, 2026

Athletic Club

0-0

Alaves

D Sep 13, 2026

Athletic Club

1-1

Elche

W Sep 05, 2026

Athletic Club

3-0

Atletico Madrid

W Aug 30, 2026

Celta Vigo

0-2

Athletic Club

L Aug 27, 2026

Barcelona

2-0

Athletic Club

L Aug 22, 2026

Athletic Club

1-3

Sevilla

L Aug 21, 2026

Zaragoza

3-1

Athletic Club

L Aug 14, 2026

Atalanta

1-0

Athletic Club

Real Madrid

Form

W W L W D

Athletic Club

Form

D L L W L

League Table

About Real Madrid vs Athletic Club

Real Madrid face Athletic Club in La Liga (Spain) on Saturday, May 23, 2026 (kick-off 19:00) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Real Madrid vs Athletic Club.

Recent form: Real Madrid have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Athletic Club have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Real Madrid vs Athletic Club points towards: -3.5, 1. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Real Madrid a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athletic Club 19%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 51% and both teams to score at 52%.

See all La Liga predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.