Racing Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction, July 12, 2026

Final score: Racing Montevideo 1-1 Penarol. Our tip was Penarol or draw (X2) and it won.

Primera División - Apertura
Primera División - Apertura

Uruguay

Jul 12th, 2026
9:30 PM
Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Racing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
D D D D W
1 : 1
Full Time
Penarol
Penarol
D W L L W

Why This Tip

32%
30%
38%
Racing Montevideo win Draw Penarol win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Penarol (38% probability — Racing Montevideo 32% / draw 30% / Penarol 38%). Racing Montevideo hold the edge on defence. Penarol look stronger on form, attack and goal model. PeakyBet tip: Penarol or draw (X2).

33% Form 67%
20% Attack 80%
57% Defence 43%
50% Head-to-head 50%
35% Goal model 65%
Tips: X2 HWEH no -2.5

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Racing Montevideo – last 5

DDDWL

Penarol – last 5

WLLWD

Last meetings

Match Odds
Home
3.00
Draw
2.98
Away
2.36
Predictions
Away Win or Draw
Home Wins Either Half
BTTS No
Under 2.5

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Jul 12, 2026
Kick Off 9:30 PM
Venue Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Penarol
1-2
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1-0
Racing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
1-4
Penarol
Penarol
0-2
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
0-0
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
1-1
Racing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
1-2
Penarol
Penarol
1-1
Racing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
0-2
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
3-3
Penarol
Racing Montevideo - Recent Form
W
Racing Montevideo
3-0
Wanderers
L
Juventud
2-0
Racing Montevideo
L
Racing Montevideo
0-1
Penarol
L
Progreso
2-1
Racing Montevideo
D
Liverpool Montevideo
0-0
Racing Montevideo
W
Racing Montevideo
3-2
Boston River
L
Racing Montevideo
2-4
Central Espanol
L
Cerro
1-0
Racing Montevideo
W
Oriental
1-2
Racing Montevideo
W
Racing Montevideo
1-0
Albion FC
Penarol - Recent Form
L
Liverpool Montevideo
1-0
Penarol
W
Racing Montevideo
0-1
Penarol
W
Penarol
2-1
Boston River
D
Danubio
1-1
Penarol
W
Cerro
1-2
Penarol
W
Danubio
0-4
Penarol
D
Atenas
2-2
Penarol
L
Penarol
0-1
Club Nacional
W
Penarol
1-0
Atletico Torque
D
Deportivo Maldonado
0-0
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Form
D D D D W
Penarol
Form
D W L L W

League Table

About Racing Montevideo vs Penarol

Racing Montevideo face Penarol in Primera División - Apertura (Uruguay) on Sunday, July 12, 2026 (kick-off 21:30) at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Racing Montevideo vs Penarol.

Recent form: Racing Montevideo have recorded 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 matches, while Penarol have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Racing Montevideo vs Penarol points towards: X2, HWEH, no. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Racing Montevideo a 32% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Penarol 38%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 37% and both teams to score at 44%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.4%), followed by 0-1 (12.7%).

See all Primera División - Apertura predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.