Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Prediction, October 17, 2026

Final score: Qarabag 3-3 Neftchi Baku. Our tip was Qarabag or draw (1X) and it won.

Premyer Liqa
Premyer Liqa

Azerbaijan

Oct 17th, 2026
3:00 PM
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
Qarabag
Qarabag
D W W D W
3 : 3
Full Time
Neftchi Baku
Neftchi Baku
D D W W W

Why This Tip

43%
26%
31%
Qarabag win Draw Neftchi Baku win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Qarabag (43% probability — Qarabag 43% / draw 26% / Neftchi Baku 31%). Qarabag hold the edge on form, defence and head-to-head. Neftchi Baku look stronger on attack and goal model. PeakyBet tip: Qarabag or draw (1X).

57% Form 43%
44% Attack 56%
57% Defence 43%
80% Head-to-head 20%
45% Goal model 55%
Tips: 1X 1 DNB

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Qarabag – last 5

WDWWL

Neftchi Baku – last 5

DWWLW

Last meetings

Match Odds
Home
1.95
Draw
3.25
Away
3.50
Predictions
Home Win or Draw
1 DNB

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Oct 17, 2026
Kick Off 3:00 PM
Venue Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Neftchi Baku
2-1
Qarabag
Neftchi Baku
1-5
Qarabag
Qarabag
2-0
Neftchi Baku
Qarabag
3-0
Neftchi Baku
Neftchi Baku
0-1
Qarabag
Neftchi Baku
0-3
Qarabag
Qarabag
4-0
Neftchi Baku
Qarabag
5-0
Neftchi Baku
Qarabag
4-1
Neftchi Baku
Qarabag - Recent Form
D
Qarabag
3-3
Neftchi Baku
W
Imisli FK
0-2
Qarabag
D
Zira
1-1
Qarabag
W
Qarabag
3-2
Araz
W
Sumqayıt
0-1
Qarabag
L
Qarabag
1-4
Twente
W
Twente
0-1
Qarabag
W
Qarabag
3-1
Şamaxı FK
W
Qarabag
2-0
Dynamo Kyiv
L
Dynamo Kyiv
1-0
Qarabag
Neftchi Baku - Recent Form
D
Qarabag
3-3
Neftchi Baku
D
Neftchi Baku
0-0
Sabah FA
W
Imisli FK
2-3
Neftchi Baku
W
Neftchi Baku
4-1
Safa Baku
L
Zira
1-0
Neftchi Baku
W
Neftchi Baku
5-0
Araz
W
Sumqayıt
1-3
Neftchi Baku
W
Dinamo Minsk
0-1
Neftchi Baku
L
Neftchi Baku
2-4
Dinamo Minsk
L
Neftchi Baku
0-1
NK Osijek
Qarabag
Form
D W W D W
Neftchi Baku
Form
D D W W W

League Table

About Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku

Qarabag face Neftchi Baku in Premyer Liqa (Azerbaijan) on Saturday, October 17, 2026 (kick-off 15:00) at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku.

Recent form: Qarabag have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 matches, while Neftchi Baku have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku points towards: 1X, 1 DNB. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Qarabag a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Neftchi Baku 31%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 54% and both teams to score at 57%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), followed by 2-1 (8.6%).

See all Premyer Liqa predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.