Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea Prediction, March 11, 2026

Final score: Paris Saint Germain 5-2 Chelsea. Our tip was Over 2.5 goals.

UEFA Champions League

World

Mar 11th, 2026

8:00 PM

Parc des Princes

Paris Saint Germain

W L W D W

5 : 2

Full Time

Chelsea

L D W L D

Why This Tip

46%

24%

30%

Paris Saint Germain win Draw Chelsea win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Paris Saint Germain (46% probability — Paris Saint Germain 46% / draw 24% / Chelsea 30%). Paris Saint Germain hold the edge on head-to-head and goal model. Chelsea look stronger on form, attack and defence. PeakyBet tip: Over 2.5 goals.

38% Form 63%

41% Attack 59%

46% Defence 54%

62% Head-to-head 38%

60% Goal model 40%

Tips: +2.5 1X

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Paris Saint Germain – last 5

WWWDW

W vs Metz 3-0 21 Feb 2026
W vs Marseille 5-0 8 Feb 2026
W at Strasbourg 1-2 1 Feb 2026
D vs Newcastle 1-1 28 Jan 2026
W at Auxerre 0-1 23 Jan 2026

Chelsea – last 5

WDWLW

W at Aston Villa 1-4 4 Mar 2026
D vs Burnley 1-1 21 Feb 2026
W at Wolves 1-3 7 Feb 2026
L at Arsenal 1-0 3 Feb 2026
W at Napoli 2-3 28 Jan 2026

Match Odds

Home

2.08

Draw

3.81

Away

3.67

Predictions

Over 2.5

Home Win or Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date Mar 11, 2026

Kick Off 8:00 PM

Venue Parc des Princes

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Jul 13, 2025

Chelsea

3-0

Paris Saint Germain

Mar 09, 2016

Chelsea

1-2

Paris Saint Germain

Feb 16, 2016

Paris Saint Germain

2-1

Chelsea

Mar 11, 2015

Chelsea

2-2

Paris Saint Germain

Feb 17, 2015

Paris Saint Germain

1-1

Chelsea

Apr 08, 2014

Chelsea

2-0

Paris Saint Germain

Apr 02, 2014

Paris Saint Germain

3-1

Chelsea

Paris Saint Germain - Recent Form

W Oct 17, 2026

Strasbourg

1-3

Paris Saint Germain

W Oct 10, 2026

Paris Saint Germain

3-1

Le Mans

W Sep 20, 2026

Marseille

1-2

Paris Saint Germain

W Sep 13, 2026

Stade Brestois 29

0-1

Paris Saint Germain

W Sep 08, 2026

Manchester City

2-4

Paris Saint Germain

W Sep 08, 2026

Paris Saint Germain

3-0

Slovan Bratislava

L Sep 04, 2026

Paris Saint Germain

1-2

Monaco

D Aug 28, 2026

Lille

2-2

Paris Saint Germain

D Aug 23, 2026

Paris Saint Germain

2-2

Rennes

W Aug 16, 2026

Paris Saint Germain

1-0

Lens

Chelsea - Recent Form

W Oct 17, 2026

Everton

0-2

Chelsea

W Oct 10, 2026

Chelsea

5-1

Bournemouth

D Sep 12, 2026

Chelsea

2-2

Hull City

L Sep 08, 2026

Chelsea

0-1

Leeds

L Sep 06, 2026

Arsenal

2-1

Chelsea

W Aug 30, 2026

Chelsea

4-3

Brighton

W Aug 27, 2026

Chelsea

2-0

Luton

W Aug 24, 2026

Fulham

2-3

Chelsea

W Aug 15, 2026

Chelsea

3-1

Real Sociedad

D Aug 09, 2026

Johor Darul Takzim FC

3-3

Chelsea

Paris Saint Germain

Form

W L W D W

Chelsea

Form

L D W L D

League Table

About Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea

Paris Saint Germain face Chelsea in UEFA Champions League (World) on Wednesday, March 11, 2026 (kick-off 20:00) at Parc des Princes. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea.

Recent form: Paris Saint Germain have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Chelsea have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea points towards: +2.5, 1X. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Paris Saint Germain a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chelsea 30%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 64% and both teams to score at 65%.

See all UEFA Champions League predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.