Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction, October 17, 2026

Final score: Newcastle 0-1 Aston Villa. Our tip was Newcastle or draw (1X) and it lost.

Premier League

England

Oct 17th, 2026

4:30 PM

St. James' Park

Newcastle

L L W L W

0 : 1

Full Time

Aston Villa

W W D W W

Why This Tip

43%

25%

32%

Newcastle win Draw Aston Villa win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Newcastle (43% probability — Newcastle 43% / draw 25% / Aston Villa 32%). Newcastle hold the edge on form, attack and goal model. Aston Villa look stronger on defence. PeakyBet tip: Newcastle or draw (1X).

58% Form 42%

57% Attack 43%

39% Defence 61%

50% Head-to-head 50%

66% Goal model 34%

Tips: 1X HWEH x 2

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Newcastle – last 5

LWLWD

L at Coventry 4-1 12 Oct 2026
W vs Hull City 2-1 19 Sep 2026
L at Leeds 4-1 14 Sep 2026
W at Millwall 0-1 8 Sep 2026
D vs Bournemouth 2-2 5 Sep 2026

Aston Villa – last 5

DWWLW

D vs Brentford 2-2 10 Oct 2026
W at Sevilla 1-3 2 Oct 2026
W at Tottenham 2-3 19 Sep 2026
L vs Nottingham Forest 1-2 12 Sep 2026
W at Club Brugge KV 2-3 8 Sep 2026

Match Odds

Home

2.30

Draw

3.50

Away

2.80

Predictions

Home Win or Draw

Home Wins Either Half

Draw

Away Win

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date Oct 17, 2026

Kick Off 4:30 PM

Venue St. James' Park

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Feb 14, 2026

Aston Villa

1-3

Newcastle

Jan 25, 2026

Newcastle

0-2

Aston Villa

Aug 16, 2025

Aston Villa

0-0

Newcastle

Apr 19, 2025

Aston Villa

4-1

Newcastle

Dec 26, 2024

Newcastle

3-0

Aston Villa

Jan 30, 2024

Aston Villa

1-3

Newcastle

Aug 12, 2023

Newcastle

5-1

Aston Villa

Jul 23, 2023

Newcastle

3-3

Aston Villa

Apr 15, 2023

Aston Villa

3-0

Newcastle

Oct 29, 2022

Newcastle

4-0

Aston Villa

Newcastle - Recent Form

L Oct 17, 2026

Newcastle

0-1

Aston Villa

L Oct 12, 2026

Coventry

4-1

Newcastle

W Sep 19, 2026

Newcastle

2-1

Hull City

L Sep 14, 2026

Leeds

4-1

Newcastle

W Sep 08, 2026

Millwall

0-1

Newcastle

D Sep 05, 2026

Newcastle

2-2

Bournemouth

W Aug 29, 2026

Tottenham

0-2

Newcastle

W Aug 25, 2026

Newcastle

3-2

West Brom

D Aug 23, 2026

Newcastle

2-2

Liverpool

D Aug 16, 2026

Newcastle

1-1

Strasbourg

Aston Villa - Recent Form

W Oct 17, 2026

Newcastle

0-1

Aston Villa

D Oct 10, 2026

Aston Villa

2-2

Brentford

W Oct 02, 2026

Sevilla

1-3

Aston Villa

W Sep 19, 2026

Tottenham

2-3

Aston Villa

L Sep 12, 2026

Aston Villa

1-2

Nottingham Forest

W Sep 08, 2026

Club Brugge KV

2-3

Aston Villa

W Sep 08, 2026

Aston Villa

6-0

Fenerbahçe

W Sep 08, 2026

Coventry

1-3

Aston Villa

D Sep 05, 2026

Hull City

0-0

Aston Villa

L Aug 31, 2026

Aston Villa

0-1

Arsenal

Newcastle

Form

L L W L W

Aston Villa

Form

W W D W W

League Table

About Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Newcastle face Aston Villa in Premier League (England) on Saturday, October 17, 2026 (kick-off 16:30) at St. James' Park, Newcastle. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Newcastle vs Aston Villa.

Recent form: Newcastle have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Aston Villa have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Newcastle vs Aston Villa points towards: 1X, HWEH, x. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Newcastle a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aston Villa 32%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 59% and both teams to score at 60%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (10.9%), followed by 2-1 (9.1%).

See all Premier League predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.