New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction, May 21, 2026

Final score: New Mexico United 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Our tip was Over 2.5 goals.

USL Championship
USL Championship

USA

May 21st, 2026
1:00 AM
Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park
New Mexico United
New Mexico United
L W D W L
0 : 1
Full Time
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies
W D W W D

Why This Tip

35%
25%
40%
New Mexico United win Draw Tampa Bay Rowdies win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Tampa Bay Rowdies (40% probability — New Mexico United 35% / draw 25% / Tampa Bay Rowdies 40%). New Mexico United hold the edge on form and attack. Tampa Bay Rowdies look stronger on defence, head-to-head and goal model. PeakyBet tip: Over 2.5 goals.

53% Form 47%
60% Attack 40%
33% Defence 67%
0% Head-to-head 100%
38% Goal model 62%
Tips: +2.5

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

New Mexico United – last 5

LWDWL

Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 5

WDWWD

Match Odds
Home
3.16
Draw
3.68
Away
1.98
Predictions
Over 2.5

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date May 21, 2026
Kick Off 1:00 AM
Venue Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rowdies
3-0
New Mexico United
Tampa Bay Rowdies
3-2
New Mexico United
New Mexico United - Recent Form
L
San Antonio
1-0
New Mexico United
W
New Mexico United
3-1
Monterey Bay
W
New Mexico United
2-1
Phoenix Rising
L
FC Tulsa
1-0
New Mexico United
L
New Mexico United
2-3
Sacramento Republic
D
Colorado Springs
0-0
New Mexico United
D
New Mexico United
2-2
Indy Eleven
W
Las Vegas Lights
1-2
New Mexico United
L
New Mexico United
1-2
San Antonio
W
New Mexico United
2-1
Lexington
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Recent Form
W
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1-0
Detroit City
W
Indy Eleven
1-3
Tampa Bay Rowdies
L
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1-2
Miami FC
D
San Antonio
0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
W
Tampa Bay Rowdies
4-0
Birmingham Legion
L
Hartford Athletic
3-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
W
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2-0
Brooklyn
D
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
L
Detroit City
1-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
W
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2-0
Rhode Island
New Mexico United
Form
L W D W L
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Form
W D W W D

League Table

About New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies

New Mexico United face Tampa Bay Rowdies in USL Championship (USA) on Thursday, May 21, 2026 (kick-off 01:00) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies.

Recent form: New Mexico United have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, while Tampa Bay Rowdies have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies points towards: +2.5. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives New Mexico United a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 40%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 52% and both teams to score at 56%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12%), followed by 1-0 (9.3%).

See all USL Championship predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.