Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction, March 21, 2026

Final score: Moreirense 0-1 Arouca. Our tip was Over 1.5 goals.

Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga

Portugal

Mar 21st, 2026
3:30 PM
Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense
Moreirense
0 : 1
Full Time
Arouca
Arouca
L L L W L

Why This Tip

41%
27%
32%
Moreirense win Draw Arouca win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Moreirense (41% probability — Moreirense 41% / draw 27% / Arouca 32%). Moreirense hold the edge on form, head-to-head and goal model. Arouca look stronger on attack. PeakyBet tip: Over 1.5 goals.

63% Form 38%
36% Attack 64%
50% Defence 50%
80% Head-to-head 20%
61% Goal model 39%
Tips: 1X +1.5

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Moreirense – last 3

LLL

Arouca – last 3

LWW

Match Odds
Home
2.51
Draw
3.25
Away
3.08
Predictions
Home Win or Draw
Over 1.5

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Mar 21, 2026
Kick Off 3:30 PM
Venue Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Arouca
0-2
Moreirense
Arouca
1-0
Moreirense
Moreirense
3-1
Arouca
Moreirense
1-0
Arouca
Arouca
0-1
Moreirense
Arouca
0-0
Moreirense
Moreirense
1-2
Arouca
Arouca
1-1
Moreirense
Moreirense
2-1
Arouca
Arouca
2-2
Moreirense
Moreirense - Recent Form
L
AVS
1-0
Moreirense
L
Moreirense
0-1
GIL Vicente
D
Vitória SC
1-1
Moreirense
W
Moreirense
3-1
Maritimo
L
FC Porto
2-1
Moreirense
W
Casa Pia
0-1
Moreirense
D
Moreirense
0-0
Benfica
L
Arouca
4-0
Moreirense
D
Moreirense
2-2
SC Braga
W
Moreirense
2-0
Amarante
Arouca - Recent Form
W
CF Os Belenenses
3-4
Arouca
D
Sporting CP
2-2
Arouca
L
Arouca
1-2
Santa Clara
D
Estoril
0-0
Arouca
W
Arouca
2-1
Maritimo
L
FC Porto
2-0
Arouca
W
Arouca
4-0
Moreirense
W
Guimaraes
0-1
Arouca
L
Santa Clara
3-0
Arouca
D
Famalicao
0-0
Arouca
Moreirense
Form
Arouca
Form
L L L W L

League Table

About Moreirense vs Arouca

Moreirense face Arouca in Primeira Liga (Portugal) on Saturday, March 21, 2026 (kick-off 15:30) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Moreirense vs Arouca.

Recent form: Moreirense form is unavailable, while Arouca have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Moreirense vs Arouca points towards: 1X, +1.5. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Moreirense a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Arouca 32%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 55% and both teams to score at 58%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), followed by 2-1 (9%).

See all Primeira Liga predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.