Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction, July 15, 2026

Final score: Lexington 1-4 New Mexico United. Our tip was Lexington or draw (1X) and it lost.

USL Championship

USA

Jul 15th, 2026

11:00 PM

Toyota Stadium

Lexington

L L W D W

1 : 4

Full Time

New Mexico United

W W W D W

Why This Tip

53%

25%

22%

Lexington win Draw New Mexico United win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Lexington (53% probability — Lexington 53% / draw 25% / New Mexico United 22%). Lexington hold the edge on attack and goal model. New Mexico United look stronger on defence. PeakyBet tip: Lexington or draw (1X).

52% Form 48%

74% Attack 26%

25% Defence 75%

50% Head-to-head 50%

73% Goal model 27%

Tips: 1X 1 DNB 2 HWEH

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Lexington – last 5

LWDWD

L at Louisville City 4-2 12 Jul 2026
W at Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-4 4 Jul 2026
D vs Indy Eleven 0-0 20 Jun 2026
W vs San Antonio 2-0 13 Jun 2026
D at Detroit City 1-1 6 Jun 2026

New Mexico United – last 5

WWDWD

W at El Paso Locomotive 0-2 12 Jul 2026
W vs Oakland Roots 2-1 5 Jul 2026
D vs Atlante FC 3-3 2 Jul 2026
W at Sacramento Republic 0-1 21 Jun 2026
D vs Orange County SC 1-1 14 Jun 2026

Match Odds

Home

1.60

Draw

3.80

Away

4.75

Predictions

Home Win or Draw

1 DNB

Away Win

Home Wins Either Half

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date Jul 15, 2026

Kick Off 11:00 PM

Venue Toyota Stadium

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Sep 28, 2025

New Mexico United

2-1

Lexington

Jun 14, 2025

Lexington

2-1

New Mexico United

Lexington - Recent Form

W Oct 18, 2026

Las Vegas Lights

3-5

Lexington

D Oct 09, 2026

Lexington

0-0

FC Tulsa

W Oct 03, 2026

Lexington

3-1

El Paso Locomotive

W Sep 27, 2026

Monterey Bay

2-3

Lexington

W Sep 19, 2026

Lexington

6-0

Orange County SC

W Sep 13, 2026

Oakland Roots

1-4

Lexington

L Sep 05, 2026

Sporting JAX

3-2

Lexington

L Aug 29, 2026

Lexington

0-1

Colorado Springs

L Aug 27, 2026

New Mexico United

2-1

Lexington

W Aug 22, 2026

Lexington

2-0

Las Vegas Lights

New Mexico United - Recent Form

L Oct 18, 2026

San Antonio

1-0

New Mexico United

W Oct 11, 2026

New Mexico United

3-1

Monterey Bay

W Oct 04, 2026

New Mexico United

2-1

Phoenix Rising

L Oct 01, 2026

FC Tulsa

1-0

New Mexico United

L Sep 27, 2026

New Mexico United

2-3

Sacramento Republic

D Sep 20, 2026

Colorado Springs

0-0

New Mexico United

D Sep 12, 2026

New Mexico United

2-2

Indy Eleven

W Sep 06, 2026

Las Vegas Lights

1-2

New Mexico United

L Aug 30, 2026

New Mexico United

1-2

San Antonio

W Aug 27, 2026

New Mexico United

2-1

Lexington

Form

L L W D W

New Mexico United

Form

W W W D W

League Table

About Lexington vs New Mexico United

Lexington face New Mexico United in USL Championship (USA) on Wednesday, July 15, 2026 (kick-off 23:00) at Toyota Stadium. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Lexington vs New Mexico United.

Recent form: Lexington have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, while New Mexico United have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Lexington vs New Mexico United points towards: 1X, 1 DNB, 2. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Lexington a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and New Mexico United 22%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 44% and both teams to score at 48%.

See all USL Championship predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.