Defensor Sporting vs Progreso Prediction, April 27, 2026

Final score: Defensor Sporting 1-0 Progreso. Our tip was Defensor Sporting or draw (1X) and it won.

Primera División - Apertura

Uruguay

Apr 27th, 2026

10:30 PM

Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor Sporting

D W L D D

1 : 0

Full Time

Progreso

W L L D D

Why This Tip

47%

29%

24%

Defensor Sporting win Draw Progreso win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Defensor Sporting (47% probability — Defensor Sporting 47% / draw 29% / Progreso 24%). Defensor Sporting hold the edge on form, defence and goal model. Progreso look stronger on attack. PeakyBet tip: Defensor Sporting or draw (1X).

55% Form 45%

40% Attack 60%

73% Defence 27%

50% Head-to-head 50%

79% Goal model 21%

Tips: -2.5 1X

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Defensor Sporting – last 5

DWLDD

D at Racing Montevideo 1-1 18 Apr 2026
W vs Boston River 2-0 11 Apr 2026
L at Cerro 1-0 5 Apr 2026
D vs Albion FC 1-1 29 Mar 2026
D at Danubio 0-0 26 Mar 2026

Progreso – last 5

WLLDD

W vs Wanderers 2-1 18 Apr 2026
L at Juventud 1-0 12 Apr 2026
L vs Penarol 0-2 4 Apr 2026
D vs Liverpool Montevideo 3-3 29 Mar 2026
D at Racing Montevideo 1-1 26 Mar 2026

Match Odds

Home

1.91

Draw

3.27

Away

4.16

Predictions

Under 2.5

Home Win or Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date Apr 27, 2026

Kick Off 10:30 PM

Venue Estadio Luis Franzini

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Jan 12, 2026

Defensor Sporting

0-0

Progreso

Oct 19, 2025

Progreso

2-3

Defensor Sporting

Apr 20, 2025

Defensor Sporting

1-2

Progreso

Nov 14, 2024

Defensor Sporting

3-0

Progreso

Jun 15, 2024

Defensor Sporting

1-1

Progreso

May 12, 2024

Progreso

1-4

Defensor Sporting

Nov 03, 2022

Defensor Sporting

3-1

Progreso

Oct 26, 2022

Progreso

1-1

Defensor Sporting

Feb 11, 2021

Progreso

3-3

Defensor Sporting

Aug 19, 2020

Defensor Sporting

2-1

Progreso

Defensor Sporting - Recent Form

L Oct 17, 2026

Boston River

1-0

Defensor Sporting

L Oct 10, 2026

Defensor Sporting

2-3

Cerro

L Oct 03, 2026

Albion FC

3-2

Defensor Sporting

W Sep 27, 2026

Defensor Sporting

1-0

Danubio

L Sep 20, 2026

Club Nacional

3-2

Defensor Sporting

L Sep 16, 2026

Defensor Sporting

0-1

Plaza Colonia

W Sep 13, 2026

Defensor Sporting

1-0

Deportivo Maldonado

D Sep 06, 2026

Central Espanol

1-1

Defensor Sporting

L Aug 29, 2026

Defensor Sporting

1-3

Atletico Torque

D Aug 25, 2026

Defensor Sporting

0-0

Rentistas

Progreso - Recent Form

W Oct 17, 2026

Progreso

2-0

Juventud

L Oct 03, 2026

Liverpool Montevideo

3-2

Progreso

W Sep 26, 2026

Progreso

2-1

Racing Montevideo

W Sep 19, 2026

Boston River

1-2

Progreso

L Sep 16, 2026

Progreso

0-1

Club Nacional

L Sep 13, 2026

Progreso

1-3

Cerro

W Sep 05, 2026

Albion FC

0-1

Progreso

L Sep 03, 2026

Albion FC

2-1

Progreso

W Aug 30, 2026

Progreso

1-0

Danubio

L Aug 26, 2026

Progreso

0-2

CA River Plate

Defensor Sporting

Form

D W L D D

Progreso

Form

W L L D D

League Table

About Defensor Sporting vs Progreso

Defensor Sporting face Progreso in Primera División - Apertura (Uruguay) on Monday, April 27, 2026 (kick-off 22:30) at Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Defensor Sporting vs Progreso.

Recent form: Defensor Sporting have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Progreso have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Defensor Sporting vs Progreso points towards: -2.5, 1X. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Defensor Sporting a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Progreso 24%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 37% and both teams to score at 42%.

See all Primera División - Apertura predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.