Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction, May 10, 2026

Final score: Corinthians 3-2 Sao Paulo. Our tip was Under 2.5 goals.

Serie A

Brazil

May 10th, 2026

9:30 PM

Neo Quimica Arena

Corinthians

D L W W W

3 : 2

Full Time

Sao Paulo

D D D W W

Why This Tip

41%

30%

29%

Corinthians win Draw Sao Paulo win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Corinthians (41% probability — Corinthians 41% / draw 30% / Sao Paulo 29%). Corinthians hold the edge on defence. Sao Paulo look stronger on form, attack, head-to-head and goal model. PeakyBet tip: Under 2.5 goals.

42% Form 58%

20% Attack 80%

70% Defence 30%

29% Head-to-head 71%

44% Goal model 56%

Tips: -2.5 X2

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Corinthians – last 5

DLWWW

D at Santa Fe 1-1 7 May 2026
L at Mirassol 2-1 3 May 2026
W vs Penarol 2-0 1 May 2026
W vs Vasco DA Gama 1-0 26 Apr 2026
W at Barra 0-1 22 Apr 2026

Sao Paulo – last 5

DDDWW

D at O'Higgins 0-0 7 May 2026
D vs Bahia 2-2 3 May 2026
D at Millonarios 0-0 29 Apr 2026
W vs Mirassol 1-0 26 Apr 2026
W vs Juventude 1-0 21 Apr 2026

Last meetings

Corinthians 1-1 Sao Paulo 18 Jan 2026

Match Odds

Home

2.12

Draw

3.14

Away

3.97

Predictions

Under 2.5

Away Win or Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date May 10, 2026

Kick Off 9:30 PM

Venue Neo Quimica Arena

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Jan 18, 2026

Corinthians

1-1

Sao Paulo

Nov 20, 2025

Corinthians

3-1

Sao Paulo

Jul 20, 2025

Sao Paulo

2-0

Corinthians

Jan 26, 2025

Sao Paulo

3-1

Corinthians

Sep 29, 2024

Sao Paulo

3-1

Corinthians

Jun 16, 2024

Corinthians

2-2

Sao Paulo

Jan 30, 2024

Corinthians

1-2

Sao Paulo

Sep 30, 2023

Sao Paulo

2-1

Corinthians

Aug 16, 2023

Sao Paulo

2-0

Corinthians

Jul 26, 2023

Corinthians

2-1

Sao Paulo

Corinthians - Recent Form

L Oct 07, 2026

Internacional

2-1

Corinthians

L Sep 20, 2026

Corinthians

1-3

Fluminense

L Sep 15, 2026

Corinthians

0-1

Estudiantes L.P.

L Sep 13, 2026

Flamengo

2-1

Corinthians

D Sep 08, 2026

Estudiantes L.P.

1-1

Corinthians

L Sep 06, 2026

Corinthians

1-2

Chapecoense-sc

L Aug 30, 2026

Corinthians

0-1

Santos

L Aug 23, 2026

Coritiba

2-1

Corinthians

W Aug 21, 2026

Corinthians

1-0

Rosario Central

L Aug 16, 2026

Corinthians

1-2

Cruzeiro

Sao Paulo - Recent Form

W Oct 18, 2026

Sao Paulo

1-0

Vasco DA Gama

W Oct 11, 2026

Sao Paulo

2-1

Vitoria

L Oct 08, 2026

Cruzeiro

2-0

Sao Paulo

W Sep 20, 2026

Sao Paulo

1-0

Internacional

D Sep 16, 2026

Sao Paulo

1-1

Boca Juniors

L Sep 13, 2026

Palmeiras

2-0

Sao Paulo

L Sep 09, 2026

Boca Juniors

1-0

Sao Paulo

W Sep 05, 2026

Sao Paulo

2-0

Atletico-MG

W Aug 30, 2026

Sao Paulo

2-1

RB Bragantino

L Aug 23, 2026

Chapecoense-sc

1-0

Sao Paulo

Corinthians

Form

D L W W W

Sao Paulo

Form

D D D W W

League Table

About Corinthians vs Sao Paulo

Corinthians face Sao Paulo in Serie A (Brazil) on Sunday, May 10, 2026 (kick-off 21:30) at Neo Quimica Arena. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Corinthians vs Sao Paulo.

Recent form: Corinthians have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Corinthians vs Sao Paulo points towards: -2.5, X2. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Corinthians a 41% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Sao Paulo 29%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 36% and both teams to score at 43%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.5%), followed by 1-0 (13%).

See all Serie A predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.