Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction, May 16, 2026

Final score: Chelsea 0-1 Manchester City. Our tip was Under 3.5 goals.

FA Cup

England

May 16th, 2026

2:00 PM

Wembley Stadium

Chelsea

D L W L L

0 : 1

Full Time

Manchester City

W W D W W

Why This Tip

35%

22%

43%

Chelsea win Draw Manchester City win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Manchester City (43% probability — Chelsea 35% / draw 22% / Manchester City 43%). Chelsea hold the edge on goal model. Manchester City look stronger on head-to-head. PeakyBet tip: Under 3.5 goals.

50% Form 50%

50% Attack 50%

50% Defence 50%

7% Head-to-head 93%

100% Goal model 0%

Tips: 2 -3.5

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Chelsea – last 5

DLWLL

D at Liverpool 1-1 9 May 2026
L vs Nottingham Forest 1-3 4 May 2026
W vs Leeds 1-0 26 Apr 2026
L at Brighton 3-0 21 Apr 2026
L vs Manchester United 0-1 18 Apr 2026

Manchester City – last 5

WDWWW

W vs Brentford 3-0 9 May 2026
D at Everton 3-3 4 May 2026
W vs Southampton 2-1 25 Apr 2026
W at Burnley 0-1 22 Apr 2026
W vs Arsenal 2-1 19 Apr 2026

Last meetings

Chelsea 0-3 Manchester City 12 Apr 2026

Match Odds

Home

4.88

Draw

4.22

Away

1.74

Predictions

Away Win

Under 3.5

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date May 16, 2026

Kick Off 2:00 PM

Venue Wembley Stadium

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Apr 12, 2026

Chelsea

0-3

Manchester City

Jan 04, 2026

Manchester City

1-1

Chelsea

Jan 25, 2025

Manchester City

3-1

Chelsea

Aug 18, 2024

Chelsea

0-2

Manchester City

Aug 03, 2024

Manchester City

4-2

Chelsea

Apr 20, 2024

Manchester City

1-0

Chelsea

Feb 17, 2024

Manchester City

1-1

Chelsea

Nov 12, 2023

Chelsea

4-4

Manchester City

May 21, 2023

Manchester City

1-0

Chelsea

Jan 08, 2023

Manchester City

4-0

Chelsea

Chelsea - Recent Form

W Oct 17, 2026

Everton

0-2

Chelsea

W Oct 10, 2026

Chelsea

5-1

Bournemouth

D Sep 12, 2026

Chelsea

2-2

Hull City

L Sep 08, 2026

Chelsea

0-1

Leeds

L Sep 06, 2026

Arsenal

2-1

Chelsea

W Aug 30, 2026

Chelsea

4-3

Brighton

W Aug 27, 2026

Chelsea

2-0

Luton

W Aug 24, 2026

Fulham

2-3

Chelsea

W Aug 15, 2026

Chelsea

3-1

Real Sociedad

D Aug 09, 2026

Johor Darul Takzim FC

3-3

Chelsea

Manchester City - Recent Form

W Oct 17, 2026

Manchester City

3-2

Ipswich

W Oct 11, 2026

Liverpool

0-3

Manchester City

W Sep 20, 2026

Manchester City

5-3

Sunderland

W Sep 13, 2026

Manchester United

0-1

Manchester City

W Sep 08, 2026

FC Porto

0-2

Manchester City

L Sep 08, 2026

Manchester City

2-4

Paris Saint Germain

W Sep 05, 2026

Manchester City

1-0

Coventry

W Aug 28, 2026

Crystal Palace

1-4

Manchester City

W Aug 23, 2026

Manchester City

2-1

Bournemouth

L Aug 16, 2026

Arsenal

3-0

Manchester City

Chelsea

Form

D L W L L

Manchester City

Form

W W D W W

League Table

About Chelsea vs Manchester City

Chelsea face Manchester City in FA Cup (England) on Saturday, May 16, 2026 (kick-off 14:00) at Wembley Stadium, London. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Chelsea vs Manchester City.

Recent form: Chelsea have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Manchester City have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Chelsea vs Manchester City points towards: 2, -3.5. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Chelsea a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Manchester City 43%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 71% and both teams to score at 70%. The most likely correct score is 2-1 (8.7%), followed by 1-1 (8.2%).

See all FA Cup predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.