Cerro vs Progreso Prediction, March 14, 2026

Final score: Cerro 0-1 Progreso. Our tip was Progreso or draw (X2) and it won.

Primera División - Apertura
Primera División - Apertura

Uruguay

Mar 14th, 2026
1:00 PM
Cerro
Cerro
L D D L L
0 : 1
Full Time
Progreso
Progreso
D D L L L

Why This Tip

41%
29%
30%
Cerro win Draw Progreso win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Cerro (41% probability — Cerro 41% / draw 29% / Progreso 30%). Cerro hold the edge on defence and goal model. Progreso look stronger on attack and head-to-head. PeakyBet tip: Progreso or draw (X2).

50% Form 50%
33% Attack 67%
59% Defence 41%
38% Head-to-head 62%
57% Goal model 43%
Tips: X2

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Progreso – last 4

LLDW

Match Odds
Home
2.45
Draw
3.00
Away
3.04
Predictions
Away Win or Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Mar 14, 2026
Kick Off 1:00 PM
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Progreso
2-0
Cerro
Cerro
0-0
Progreso
Progreso
0-1
Cerro
Cerro
2-3
Progreso
Cerro
1-1
Progreso
Progreso
0-0
Cerro
Progreso
2-1
Cerro
Cerro
2-0
Progreso
Progreso
2-0
Cerro
Progreso
1-1
Cerro
Cerro - Recent Form
W
Defensor Sporting
2-3
Cerro
L
Cerro
0-2
Wanderers
D
Juventud
0-0
Cerro
L
Cerro
1-2
Deportivo Maldonado
L
Cerro
1-2
Penarol
W
Progreso
1-3
Cerro
L
Cerro
0-2
Cerrito
W
Cerro
1-0
Racing Montevideo
D
Wanderers
1-1
Cerro
D
Boston River
1-1
Cerro
Progreso - Recent Form
W
Progreso
2-0
Juventud
L
Liverpool Montevideo
3-2
Progreso
W
Progreso
2-1
Racing Montevideo
W
Boston River
1-2
Progreso
L
Progreso
0-1
Club Nacional
L
Progreso
1-3
Cerro
W
Albion FC
0-1
Progreso
L
Albion FC
2-1
Progreso
W
Progreso
1-0
Danubio
L
Progreso
0-2
CA River Plate
Cerro
Form
L D D L L
Progreso
Form
D D L L L

League Table

About Cerro vs Progreso

Cerro face Progreso in Primera División - Apertura (Uruguay) on Saturday, March 14, 2026 (kick-off 13:00). On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Cerro vs Progreso.

Recent form: Cerro have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Progreso have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Cerro vs Progreso points towards: X2. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Cerro a 41% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Progreso 30%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 44% and both teams to score at 49%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.9%).

See all Primera División - Apertura predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.