Bahia vs Gremio Prediction, May 17, 2026

Final score: Bahia 1-1 Gremio. Our tip was Over 2.5 goals.

Serie A
Serie A

Brazil

May 17th, 2026
7:00 PM
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia
Bahia
L L D D L
1 : 1
Full Time
Gremio
Gremio
W L W D D

Why This Tip

49%
27%
24%
Bahia win Draw Gremio win

PeakyBet's model slightly favours Bahia (49% probability — Bahia 49% / draw 27% / Gremio 24%). Bahia hold the edge on attack, head-to-head and goal model. Gremio look stronger on defence. PeakyBet tip: Over 2.5 goals.

50% Form 50%
88% Attack 13%
25% Defence 75%
60% Head-to-head 40%
73% Goal model 27%
Tips: +2.5 yes

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Bahia – last 5

LLDDL

Gremio – last 5

WLWDD

Match Odds
Home
1.83
Draw
3.66
Away
4.47
Predictions
Over 2.5
BTTS Yes

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date May 17, 2026
Kick Off 7:00 PM
Venue Arena Fonte Nova
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Bahia
4-0
Gremio
Gremio
1-0
Bahia
Gremio
0-2
Bahia
Bahia
1-0
Gremio
Gremio
1-0
Bahia
Gremio
1-1
Bahia
Bahia
1-1
Gremio
Bahia
1-2
Gremio
Gremio
1-1
Bahia
Bahia
0-0
Gremio
Bahia - Recent Form
L
Bahia
0-3
Flamengo
L
Palmeiras
1-0
Bahia
L
Atletico Paranaense
2-1
Bahia
W
Bahia
2-1
Remo
W
RB Bragantino
2-3
Bahia
W
Bahia
3-2
Internacional
W
Vitoria
0-2
Bahia
D
Chapecoense-sc
3-3
Bahia
D
Bahia
0-0
Vasco DA Gama
D
Fluminense
0-0
Bahia
Gremio - Recent Form
L
Gremio
2-4
Cruzeiro
D
Remo
1-1
Gremio
D
Gremio
0-0
Palmeiras
L
Gremio
1-2
Vasco DA Gama
L
Vitoria
1-0
Gremio
W
Gremio
3-1
Internacional
W
Gremio
3-1
Chapecoense-sc
D
Internacional
0-0
Gremio
L
RB Bragantino
1-0
Gremio
L
Atletico-MG
3-0
Gremio
Bahia
Form
L L D D L
Gremio
Form
W L W D D

League Table

About Bahia vs Gremio

Bahia face Gremio in Serie A (Brazil) on Sunday, May 17, 2026 (kick-off 19:00) at Arena Fonte Nova. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Bahia vs Gremio.

Recent form: Bahia have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Gremio have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Bahia vs Gremio points towards: +2.5, yes. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Bahia a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gremio 24%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 41% and both teams to score at 46%.

See all Serie A predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.