Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction, October 4, 2026

Final score: Azerbaijan 1-0 Lithuania. Our tip was Lithuania or draw (X2) and it lost.

UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League

World

Oct 4th, 2026
1:00 PM
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
W D D W W
1 : 0
Full Time
Lithuania
Lithuania
L W D W L

Why This Tip

38%
32%
30%
Azerbaijan win Draw Lithuania win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Azerbaijan (38% probability — Azerbaijan 38% / draw 32% / Lithuania 30%). Lithuania look stronger on form and attack. PeakyBet tip: Lithuania or draw (X2).

33% Form 67%
25% Attack 75%
50% Defence 50%
50% Head-to-head 50%
0% Goal model 0%
Tips: HWEH 1 DNB X2

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Azerbaijan – last 5

DDWWL

Lithuania – last 5

WDWWD

Last meetings

Match Odds
Home
2.40
Draw
2.80
Away
3.00
Predictions
Home Wins Either Half
1 DNB
Away Win or Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished
Date Oct 4, 2026
Kick Off 1:00 PM
Head-to-Head & Recent Form
Lithuania
1-1
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
0-0
Lithuania
Azerbaijan - Recent Form
W
Azerbaijan
1-0
Lithuania
D
Azerbaijan
0-0
Liechtenstein
D
Lithuania
1-1
Azerbaijan
W
Azerbaijan
1-0
Tajikistan
W
Azerbaijan
2-1
San Marino
L
Azerbaijan
0-2
Malta
D
Azerbaijan
1-1
Sierra Leone
W
Azerbaijan
6-1
St. Lucia
Lithuania - Recent Form
L
Azerbaijan
1-0
Lithuania
W
Lithuania
3-0
Andorra
D
Lithuania
1-1
Azerbaijan
W
Liechtenstein
0-2
Lithuania
W
Lithuania
1-0
Estonia
D
Lithuania
1-1
Latvia
L
Lithuania
0-2
Georgia
W
Moldova
0-2
Lithuania
Azerbaijan
Form
W D D W W
Lithuania
Form
L W D W L

League Table

About Azerbaijan vs Lithuania

Azerbaijan face Lithuania in UEFA Nations League (World) on Sunday, October 4, 2026 (kick-off 13:00). On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Azerbaijan vs Lithuania.

Recent form: Azerbaijan have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 matches, while Lithuania have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Azerbaijan vs Lithuania points towards: HWEH, 1 DNB, X2. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Azerbaijan a 38% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Lithuania 30%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 17% and both teams to score at 33%.

See all UEFA Nations League predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.