Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction, April 29, 2026

Final score: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Arsenal. Our tip was Over 1.5 goals.

UEFA Champions League

World

Apr 29th, 2026

7:00 PM

Metropolitano Stadium

Atletico Madrid

W L D L L

1 : 1

Full Time

Arsenal

W L D L W

Why This Tip

36%

27%

37%

Atletico Madrid win Draw Arsenal win

PeakyBet's model narrowly favours Arsenal (37% probability — Atletico Madrid 36% / draw 27% / Arsenal 37%). Atletico Madrid hold the edge on attack. Arsenal look stronger on form, defence and goal model. PeakyBet tip: Over 1.5 goals.

45% Form 55%

67% Attack 33%

27% Defence 73%

50% Head-to-head 50%

18% Goal model 82%

Tips: +1.5 yes X2

Model-based analysis from form, attack/defence strength and head-to-head. 18+ · bet responsibly.

Recent form

Atletico Madrid – last 5

WLDLL

W vs Athletic Club 3-2 25 Apr 2026
L at Elche 3-2 22 Apr 2026
D vs Real Sociedad 2-2 18 Apr 2026
L vs Barcelona 1-2 14 Apr 2026
L at Sevilla 2-1 11 Apr 2026

Arsenal – last 5

WLDLW

W vs Newcastle 1-0 25 Apr 2026
L at Manchester City 2-1 19 Apr 2026
D vs Sporting CP 0-0 15 Apr 2026
L vs Bournemouth 1-2 11 Apr 2026
W at Sporting CP 0-1 7 Apr 2026

Match Odds

Home

3.04

Draw

3.32

Away

2.59

Predictions

Over 1.5

BTTS Yes

Away Win or Draw

Match Info

Status Match Finished

Date Apr 29, 2026

Kick Off 7:00 PM

Venue Metropolitano Stadium

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Oct 21, 2025

Arsenal

4-0

Atletico Madrid

Jul 26, 2018

Atletico Madrid

1-1

Arsenal

May 03, 2018

Atletico Madrid

1-0

Arsenal

Apr 26, 2018

Arsenal

1-1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid - Recent Form

W Oct 17, 2026

Espanyol

0-1

Atletico Madrid

W Oct 10, 2026

Alaves

1-2

Atletico Madrid

W Sep 20, 2026

Atletico Madrid

2-1

Real Madrid

W Sep 16, 2026

Atletico Madrid

4-0

Osasuna

W Sep 13, 2026

Real Sociedad

0-3

Atletico Madrid

D Sep 08, 2026

Liverpool

1-1

Atletico Madrid

W Sep 08, 2026

Atletico Madrid

2-0

Manchester United

L Sep 05, 2026

Athletic Club

3-0

Atletico Madrid

W Aug 29, 2026

Sevilla

1-3

Atletico Madrid

D Aug 23, 2026

Atletico Madrid

2-2

Villarreal

Arsenal - Recent Form

W Oct 18, 2026

Nottingham Forest

0-1

Arsenal

W Oct 10, 2026

Arsenal

2-1

Leeds

L Sep 19, 2026

Brighton

3-0

Arsenal

W Sep 12, 2026

Sunderland

0-2

Arsenal

D Sep 08, 2026

Napoli

0-0

Arsenal

W Sep 08, 2026

Arsenal

3-0

Lille

W Sep 08, 2026

Ipswich

0-3

Arsenal

W Sep 06, 2026

Arsenal

2-1

Chelsea

W Aug 31, 2026

Aston Villa

0-1

Arsenal

W Aug 21, 2026

Arsenal

3-0

Coventry

Atletico Madrid

Form

W L D L L

Arsenal

Form

W L D L W

League Table

About Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal

Atletico Madrid face Arsenal in UEFA Champions League (World) on Wednesday, April 29, 2026 (kick-off 19:00) at Metropolitano Stadium. On this page you will find PeakyBet's free prediction, betting tips, head-to-head record, recent form and key match facts for Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal.

Recent form: Atletico Madrid have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Arsenal have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.

Based on PeakyBet's statistical model, the leading betting angle for Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal points towards: +1.5, yes, X2. Always compare with the latest odds and team news before placing a bet.

The PeakyBet model gives Atletico Madrid a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Arsenal 37%. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 59% and both teams to score at 62%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (10.9%), followed by 2-1 (8.6%).

See all UEFA Champions League predictions, today's correct score predictions and the strongest picks of the day.